Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 59.93%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 18.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.96%) and 0-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-0 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
Result | ||
Gil Vicente | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
18.66% ( 0.05) | 21.4% ( 0.03) | 59.93% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 54.66% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.31% ( -0.06) | 42.69% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.9% ( -0.06) | 65.09% ( 0.06) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.44% ( 0.02) | 36.56% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.65% ( 0.02) | 73.34% ( -0.02) |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.15% ( -0.04) | 13.84% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.78% ( -0.09) | 41.22% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Gil Vicente | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
1-0 @ 5.09% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 5.07% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 2.56% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.7% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.68% ( 0) Other @ 2.56% Total : 18.66% | 1-1 @ 10.07% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.4% | 0-1 @ 10% ( 0) 1-2 @ 9.96% 0-2 @ 9.89% ( -0) 1-3 @ 6.56% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 6.52% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.3% ( -0) 1-4 @ 3.24% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 3.22% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.63% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.03% Total : 59.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 3 | 32 | 30 |
2 | Porto | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 4 | 23 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 6 | 18 | 22 |
4 | Braga | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 20 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 18 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 16 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
9 | Casa Pia | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 12 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 10 |
11 | BoavistaBoavista | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 9 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 9 |
13 | AVS | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 9 |
14 | Rio AveRio Ave | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 9 |
15 | AroucaArouca | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 7 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 6 |
17 | Nacional | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 5 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 4 |
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