Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 49.9%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 24.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.61%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for an Arouca win it was 0-1 (8.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.
Result | ||
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Arouca |
49.9% (![]() | 25.96% (![]() | 24.13% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.14% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.87% (![]() | 55.13% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.62% (![]() | 76.37% (![]() |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.86% (![]() | 22.13% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.48% (![]() | 55.51% (![]() |
Arouca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.82% (![]() | 38.17% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.06% (![]() | 74.93% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Arouca |
1-0 @ 12.74% (![]() 2-0 @ 9.61% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.25% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.83% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.65% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.24% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.82% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.75% ( ![]() Other @ 3.01% Total : 49.9% | 1-1 @ 12.27% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.45% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.46% ( ![]() Other @ 0.79% Total : 25.96% | 0-1 @ 8.14% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.91% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.92% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.9% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.43% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.26% ( ![]() Other @ 1.58% Total : 24.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |