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Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
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Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Braga
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 16
Jan 6, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Braga
Vitoria de Guimaraes

Braga
1 - 1
Guimaraes

Carvalho (53')
Horta (70'), Carvalho (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mendes (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Casa Pia 1-3 Braga
Saturday, December 30 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 1-0 Rio Ave
Saturday, December 23 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Braga 2-1 Vitoria de Guimaraes

Both these sides' league forms have been very similar this season, and we are likely to see a level match unfold here. Braga's home form and scoring record has been excellent this season, though, which is why we feel that they may just edge this one by the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 54.71%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 22.99% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-2 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
BragaDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
54.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 22.29% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04) 22.99% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 58.4% (0.17100000000001 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.07% (0.204 0.2)40.93% (-0.20500000000001 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.68% (0.207 0.21)63.32% (-0.20800000000001 -0.21)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.09% (0.070000000000007 0.07)14.91% (-0.071 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.71% (0.13500000000001 0.14)43.29% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.64% (0.143 0.14)31.36% (-0.144 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.27% (0.165 0.16)67.73% (-0.16600000000001 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Braga 54.71%
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 22.99%
    Draw 22.29%
BragaDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
2-1 @ 9.82% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 8.9% (-0.061000000000002 -0.06)
2-0 @ 8.47% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.23% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.37% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.61% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.96% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.56% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 1.72% (0.014 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.13% (0.0079999999999998 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.97% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 54.71%
1-1 @ 10.31% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.69% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.68% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.4% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.29%
1-2 @ 5.98% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.42% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.14% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 2.31% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.2% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 22.99%

How you voted: Braga vs Guimaraes

Braga
81.4%
Draw
14.0%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
4.7%
43
Head to Head
Feb 27, 2023 9.15pm
Gameweek 22
Guimaraes
2-1
Braga
Silva (31' pen.), Safira (41')
Djalo (88')
Jan 11, 2023 6.45pm
Round of 16
Braga
3-2
Guimaraes
Ruiz (80', 85'), Oliveira (83')
Silva (16'), Silva (45+6')
Sep 3, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 5
Braga
1-0
Guimaraes
Tormena (90+8')
Elmusrati (45+1'), Silva (90+1')

Amaro (2'), Freitas (18'), Fernandes (23'), Varela (59'), Lameiras (90+1'), Silva (90+1'), Safira (90+6')
Feb 5, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 21
Guimaraes
2-1
Braga
Estupinan (18'), Luz (90')
Silva (3'), Estupinan (29'), Handel (43'), Fernandes (45')
Semedo (58')
Oliveira (48')
Rodrigues (20')
Aug 29, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 4
Braga
0-0
Guimaraes
Silva (32'), Elmusrati (37')
Almeida (24'), Rochinha (27'), Soares (52'), Trmal (85'), Mumin (90+2')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135


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