Primeira Liga | Gameweek 16

Jan 16, 2023 at 9.15pm UK

Estádio Cidade de Barcelos

Gil Vicente
2 - 1
Guimaraes

Alipour (40'), Navarro (82')
Marin (6'), Carvalho (48')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Silva (17')
Bamba (29'), Fernandes (43'), Silva (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Gil Vicente and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gil Vicente

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Boavista 1-0 Gil Vicente
Sunday, January 8 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Braga 3-2 Guimaraes
Wednesday, January 11 at 6.45pm in Taca de Portugal

Goals
for

We said: Gil Vicente 1-1 Vitoria de Guimaraes

On a run of two successive home wins, Gli Vicente will fancy themselves to come away with the desired result in front of their home fans on Monday. However, we predict that Vitoria de Guimaraes will do just enough to leave with a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 48.46%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 25.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.42%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 0-1 (8.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gil Vicente would win this match.

Result
Gil Vicente	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
48.46% ( -0.07)	26.3% ( 0)	25.23% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 48.2% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.43% (

0.03)

55.57% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.26% (

0.02)

76.74% (

-0.03)

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.04% (

-0.02)

22.96% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.25% (

-0.03)

56.75% (

0.02)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.56% (

0.07)

37.44% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.78% (

0.07)

74.22% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Gil Vicente 48.46%

Vitoria de Guimaraes 25.23%

Draw 26.3%

Gil Vicente	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 12.64% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.3% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.14% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.48% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.68% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.65% ( -0) Other @ 2.79% Total : 48.46%	1-1 @ 12.42% 0-0 @ 8.6% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.79% Total : 26.3%	0-1 @ 8.45% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.15% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.7% Total : 25.23%