Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 45.21%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.
Result | ||
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Gil Vicente |
45.21% (![]() | 25.35% (![]() | 29.43% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.18% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.74% (![]() | 49.26% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.68% (![]() | 71.31% (![]() |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.22% (![]() | 21.78% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.02% (![]() | 54.97% (![]() |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.27% (![]() | 30.73% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.01% (![]() | 66.99% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Gil Vicente |
1-0 @ 10.2% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.17% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.77% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.66% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.95% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.75% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.78% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.51% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.05% ( ![]() Other @ 2.37% Total : 45.21% | 1-1 @ 12.03% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.69% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.41% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.08% ( ![]() Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.35% | 0-1 @ 7.9% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.1% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.66% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.79% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.13% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.83% ( ![]() Other @ 3.02% Total : 29.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 25 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 67 | 22 | 45 | 59 |
2 | Benfica | 24 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 56 | 18 | 38 | 56 |
3 | Porto | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 49 | 20 | 29 | 50 |
4 | Braga | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 22 | 19 | 50 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 40 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 38 |
7 | Casa Pia | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 36 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 35 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 34 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 29 |
11 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 28 |
12 | AroucaArouca | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 28 |
13 | Nacional | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 26 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 23 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 23 |
16 | AVS | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 23 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 25 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 17 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 42 | -26 | 15 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |