Primeira Liga | Gameweek 26

Apr 2, 2023 at 3.30pm UK

Estádio dos Barreiros

Maritimo
4 - 2
Boavista

Vidigal (3', 50'), Correia (22'), Riascos (90+6')
Xadas (48'), Mosquera (80'), Costa (85')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Agra (59'), Lourenco (87')
Cannon (65'), Bozenik (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Maritimo and Boavista, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Maritimo

All competitions

Last Game: Casa Pia 2-0 Maritimo
Sunday, March 19 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Boavista

All competitions

Last Game: Boavista 1-2 Famalicao
Sunday, March 19 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

We said: Maritimo 2-1 Boavista

While Maritimo have struggled for results, they will draw inspiration from their solid record against Boavista as they are unbeaten in their last seven league encounters between the sides. Petit's side have run out of steam in recent weeks and we are backing the hosts to scrap a narrow win on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 41.17%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 31.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Maritimo would win this match.

Result
Maritimo	Draw	Boavista
41.17% ( -0.04)	26.84% ( 0.01)	31.99% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 50.66% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.64% (

-0.04)

54.36% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.26% (

-0.03)

75.74% (

0.03)

Maritimo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.99% (

-0.04)

26% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.97% (

-0.05)

61.03% (

0.05)

Boavista Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.46% (

-0)

31.54% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.06% (

-0)

67.93% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Maritimo 41.16%

Boavista 31.99%

Draw 26.84%

Maritimo	Draw	Boavista
1-0 @ 11.04% 2-1 @ 8.59% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.44% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.85% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.34% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 2.25% Total : 41.16%	1-1 @ 12.74% 0-0 @ 8.2% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0) Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.84%	0-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.36% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.83% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.1% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.87% Total : 31.99%