Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nacional win with a probability of 45.49%. A win for Casa Pia has a probability of 28.7% and a draw has a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Casa Pia win is 0-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.27%).
Result | ||
Nacional | Draw | Casa Pia |
45.49% (![]() | 25.81% (![]() | 28.7% (![]() |
Both teams to score 52.28% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.47% (![]() | 51.53% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.67% (![]() | 73.33% (![]() |
Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.39% (![]() | 22.61% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.77% (![]() | 56.22% (![]() |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.56% (![]() | 32.44% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.03% (![]() | 68.96% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Nacional | Draw | Casa Pia |
1-0 @ 10.9% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.13% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.11% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.52% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.02% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.55% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.68% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.49% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 2.14% Total : 45.49% | 1-1 @ 12.27% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.34% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.14% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.96% ( ![]() Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.8% | 0-1 @ 8.26% 1-2 @ 6.91% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.65% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.59% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.93% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.74% ( ![]() Other @ 2.62% Total : 28.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 25 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 67 | 22 | 45 | 59 |
2 | Benfica | 24 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 56 | 18 | 38 | 56 |
3 | Porto | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 49 | 20 | 29 | 50 |
4 | Braga | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 22 | 19 | 50 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 40 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 38 |
7 | Casa Pia | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 36 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 35 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 34 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 29 |
11 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 28 |
12 | AroucaArouca | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 28 |
13 | Nacional | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 26 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 23 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 23 |
16 | AVS | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 23 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 25 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 17 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 42 | -26 | 15 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |