Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 36.9%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 36% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 0-1 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Portimonense | Draw | Famalicao |
36.9% | 27.09% | 36% |
Both teams to score 50.62% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.26% | 54.74% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.94% | 76.06% |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.42% | 28.58% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.62% | 64.38% |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.88% | 29.12% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.95% | 65.05% |
Score Analysis |
Portimonense | Draw | Famalicao |
1-0 @ 10.42% 2-1 @ 8.05% 2-0 @ 6.53% 3-1 @ 3.36% 3-0 @ 2.73% 3-2 @ 2.07% 4-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.68% Total : 36.9% | 1-1 @ 12.86% 0-0 @ 8.32% 2-2 @ 4.97% Other @ 0.94% Total : 27.09% | 0-1 @ 10.26% 1-2 @ 7.93% 0-2 @ 6.33% 1-3 @ 3.26% 0-3 @ 2.61% 2-3 @ 2.04% 1-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.55% Total : 36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 23 | 21 |
2 | Porto | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 18 |
3 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 16 |
4 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
5 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 12 |
6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 12 |
7 | Braga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 11 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
9 | Casa Pia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 8 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
11 | AVS | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 6 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 6 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 5 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 |
17 | Nacional | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 5 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 0 |
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