Primeira Liga | Gameweek 4

Aug 27, 2021 at 7pm UK

Estádio Nacional

Belenenses
1 - 1
Moreirense

Akas (29')
Ribeiro (38'), Sousa (56'), Felipe da Silva Nunes (78'), Lukovic (78'), Phete (90+5')
Boni (67'), Petit (87')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Luis (86')
Vitoria (45+2'), Yan (53'), Camara (78'), Rosic (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Belenenses and Moreirense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 34.8%. A win for Belenenses had a probability of 34.14% and a draw had a probability of 31.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.85%) and 1-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Belenenses win was 1-0 (13.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.

Result
Belenenses	Draw	Moreirense
34.14%	31.06%	34.8%

Both teams to score 39.43%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

31.73%

68.27%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

13.89%

86.11%

Belenenses Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.56%

37.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.78%

74.22%

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.03%

36.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.24%

73.75%

Score Analysis

Belenenses 34.13%

Moreirense 34.8%

Draw 31.05%

Belenenses	Draw	Moreirense
1-0 @ 13.59% 2-0 @ 6.68% 2-1 @ 6.65% 3-0 @ 2.19% 3-1 @ 2.18% 3-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.76% Total : 34.13%	0-0 @ 13.83% 1-1 @ 13.53% 2-2 @ 3.31% Other @ 0.38% Total : 31.05%	0-1 @ 13.77% 0-2 @ 6.85% 1-2 @ 6.73% 0-3 @ 2.27% 1-3 @ 2.23% 2-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.84% Total : 34.8%