Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 44.3%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 29.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (8.05%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 1-0 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
Result | ||
Santa Clara | Draw | Braga |
29.35% (![]() | 26.35% (![]() | 44.3% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.01% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.64% (![]() | 53.36% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.1% (![]() | 74.9% (![]() |
Santa Clara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.09% (![]() | 32.91% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.51% (![]() | 69.49% (![]() |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.04% (![]() | 23.96% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.8% (![]() | 58.2% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Santa Clara | Draw | Braga |
1-0 @ 8.77% (![]() 2-1 @ 6.96% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.87% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.58% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.84% 3-0 @ 1.8% ( ![]() Other @ 2.53% Total : 29.35% | 1-1 @ 12.52% 0-0 @ 7.89% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.97% Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.35% | 0-1 @ 11.26% 1-2 @ 8.95% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 8.05% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.26% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.83% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.37% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.52% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.37% ( ![]() Other @ 2.69% Total : 44.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |