We said: Braga 1-3 Benfica
Off the back of their shock cup exit, Benfica will be looking to make an immediate positive reaction by closing out the year with a win. While we expect Braga to put up a fight, As Aguias boasts the firepower needed to get the job done and we are backing them to claim all three points in this one.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 63.04%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Braga had a probability of 15.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.77%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Braga win it was 1-0 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.