Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 75.06%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 8.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.17%) and 3-0 (10.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.63%), while for a Vizela win it was 0-1 (3.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Vizela |
75.06% ( 0.56) | 16.05% ( -0.3) | 8.89% ( -0.26) |
Both teams to score 44.88% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.92% ( 0.52) | 41.08% ( -0.52) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.53% ( 0.53) | 63.47% ( -0.53) |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.67% ( 0.27) | 9.32% ( -0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.55% ( 0.63) | 31.44% ( -0.63) |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
49.49% ( -0.23) | 50.5% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.99% ( -0.15) | 85% ( 0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Vizela |
2-0 @ 13.25% 1-0 @ 11.17% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 10.48% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 7.16% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.15) 4-1 @ 4.25% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0) 5-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.02) 6-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.44% Total : 75.05% | 1-1 @ 7.63% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 4.71% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.62% Total : 16.05% | 0-1 @ 3.22% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.97% Total : 8.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 3 | 32 | 30 |
2 | Porto | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 4 | 23 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 6 | 18 | 22 |
4 | Braga | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 20 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 18 |
6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 18 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 16 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
9 | Casa Pia | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 12 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 10 |
11 | BoavistaBoavista | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 9 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 9 |
13 | AVS | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 9 |
14 | Rio AveRio Ave | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 9 |
15 | Nacional | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 8 |
16 | AroucaArouca | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 7 |
17 | Estrela Amadora | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 6 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 4 |
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