Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 75.06%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 8.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.17%) and 3-0 (10.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.63%), while for a Vizela win it was 0-1 (3.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Vizela |
75.06% (![]() | 16.05% (![]() | 8.89% (![]() |
Both teams to score 44.88% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.92% (![]() | 41.08% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.53% (![]() | 63.47% (![]() |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.67% (![]() | 9.32% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.55% (![]() | 31.44% (![]() |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
49.49% (![]() | 50.5% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.99% (![]() | 85% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Vizela |
2-0 @ 13.25% 1-0 @ 11.17% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 10.48% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.05% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.16% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 6.22% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.25% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 2.95% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.45% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 2.02% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.45% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 1.17% ( ![]() Other @ 3.44% Total : 75.05% | 1-1 @ 7.63% (![]() 0-0 @ 4.71% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.09% ( ![]() Other @ 0.62% Total : 16.05% | 0-1 @ 3.22% (![]() 1-2 @ 2.61% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.1% ( ![]() Other @ 1.97% Total : 8.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 27 | 20 | 5 | 2 | 73 | 23 | 50 | 65 |
2 | Benfica | 27 | 21 | 2 | 4 | 65 | 22 | 43 | 65 |
3 | Porto | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 53 | 21 | 32 | 56 |
4 | Braga | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 44 | 23 | 21 | 56 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 46 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 42 |
7 | Casa Pia | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 39 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 37 |
9 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 36 |
10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 |
11 | Nacional | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 26 | 37 | -11 | 29 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 29 |
13 | AroucaArouca | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 29 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 26 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 23 |
16 | AVS | 27 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 23 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 27 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 19 | 40 | -21 | 17 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 27 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 46 | -29 | 15 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |