Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 62.78%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Vitoria de Setubal had a probability of 14.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.75%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Vitoria de Setubal win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Vitoria de Setubal |
62.78% | 22.38% | 14.85% |
Both teams to score 43.81% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.88% | 53.12% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.31% | 74.69% |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.59% | 16.41% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.93% | 46.07% |
Vitoria de Setubal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.41% | 47.59% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.07% | 82.93% |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Vitoria de Setubal |
1-0 @ 14.11% 2-0 @ 12.75% 2-1 @ 9.47% 3-0 @ 7.68% 3-1 @ 5.71% 4-0 @ 3.47% 4-1 @ 2.58% 3-2 @ 2.12% 5-0 @ 1.26% 4-2 @ 0.96% 5-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.74% Total : 62.77% | 1-1 @ 10.48% 0-0 @ 7.81% 2-2 @ 3.52% Other @ 0.57% Total : 22.38% | 0-1 @ 5.8% 1-2 @ 3.89% 0-2 @ 2.15% 1-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.04% Total : 14.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 5 | 34 | 33 |
2 | Porto | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 8 | 20 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 21 | 25 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Braga | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 20 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 18 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Casa Pia | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 13 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 10 |
13 | AVS | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 10 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 9 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 9 |
16 | Nacional | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 8 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 5 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |