Primeira Liga | Gameweek 16
Dec 28, 2021 at 5pm UK
Estádio João Cardoso
Tondela0 - 3Gil Vicente
We said: Tondela 0-2 Gil Vicente
Tondela picked up a morale-boosting cup win last time out and will look to carry that momentum into the league where they have struggled for form. However, they face a Gil Vicente side who have been solid away from home so far and are unbeaten in their last five away games. We are backing Gil Vicente to come out on top on Tuesday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 54.54%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 20.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.49%) and 1-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a Tondela win it was 1-0 (7.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gil Vicente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tondela | Draw | Gil Vicente |
| 20.85% | 24.61% | 54.54% |
| Both teams to score 48.16% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
