Taca de Portugal | Round of 16

Jan 11, 2023 at 6.45pm UK

Estádio Municipal de Braga

Braga
3 - 2
Guimaraes

Ruiz (80', 85'), Oliveira (83')
Sequeira (23'), Horta (45+2'), Oliveira (62')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Silva (16'), Silva (45+6')
Amaro (45+2'), Silva (52'), Safira (89')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Round of 16 clash between Braga and Vitoria de Guimaraes.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions

Taca de Portugal

Last Game: Santa Clara 0-4 Braga
Thursday, January 5 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions

Taca de Portugal

Last Game: Guimaraes 0-0 Rio Ave
Saturday, January 7 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 56.24%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 19.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.73%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 0-1 (6.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
Braga	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
56.24% ( 0.59)	23.97% ( -0.11)	19.78% ( -0.48)

Both teams to score 48.45% (

-0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.09% (

-0.18)

51.91% (

0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.34% (

-0.16)

73.66% (

0.15)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.7% (

0.15)

18.3% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.62% (

0.26)

49.38% (

-0.26)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.3% (

-0.63)

40.69% (

0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.72% (

-0.57)

77.28% (

0.56)

Score Analysis

Braga 56.23%

Vitoria de Guimaraes 19.78%

Draw 23.97%

Braga	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 12.64% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 10.73% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 9.66% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 5.47% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.32% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.25% Total : 56.23%	1-1 @ 11.37% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.45% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.81% Total : 23.97%	0-1 @ 6.7% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.23% Total : 19.78%