MX23RW : Tuesday, October 1 08:09:22| >> :300:86500:86500:
Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 8
Sep 17, 2023 at 4pm UK
SRC Velika Gorica

Gorica
2 - 1
Hajduk Split

Stiglec (86'), Matej Juric (90+2')
Prsir (64'), Raspopovic (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sarlija (62')
Sarlija (78')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between Gorica and Hajduk Split.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rudes 0-2 Gorica
Saturday, September 2 at 6pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Hajduk Split 0-1 Istra 1961
Saturday, September 2 at 8.05pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hajduk Split win with a probability of 50.31%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Gorica had a probability of 23.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hajduk Split win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.01%) and 1-2 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Gorica win it was 1-0 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
GoricaDrawHajduk Split
23.28% (0.418 0.42) 26.4% (0.254 0.25) 50.31% (-0.673 -0.67)
Both teams to score 46.08% (-0.247 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.62% (-0.554 -0.55)57.38% (0.555 0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.8% (-0.444 -0.44)78.2% (0.443 0.44)
Gorica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.76% (0.092999999999996 0.09)40.24% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.13% (0.082000000000001 0.08)76.87% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)
Hajduk Split Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.1% (-0.53100000000001 -0.53)22.9% (0.532 0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.34% (-0.78899999999999 -0.79)56.66% (0.78899999999999 0.79)
Score Analysis
    Gorica 23.29%
    Hajduk Split 50.31%
    Draw 26.4%
GoricaDrawHajduk Split
1-0 @ 8.39% (0.197 0.2)
2-1 @ 5.63% (0.058 0.06)
2-0 @ 3.82% (0.099 0.1)
3-1 @ 1.71% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.26% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 1.16% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 23.29%
1-1 @ 12.36% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 9.21% (0.193 0.19)
2-2 @ 4.15% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 26.4%
0-1 @ 13.58% (0.08 0.08)
0-2 @ 10.01% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-2 @ 9.11% (-0.072000000000001 -0.07)
0-3 @ 4.92% (-0.131 -0.13)
1-3 @ 4.48% (-0.107 -0.11)
2-3 @ 2.04% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.81% (-0.078 -0.08)
1-4 @ 1.65% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 50.31%

rhs 2.0
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Lions
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1HNK RijekaRijeka85301511418
2Hajduk Split8530125718
3Dinamo Zagreb85121991016
4NK VarazdinVarazdin833264212
5Sibenik832369-311
6Osijek8314810-210
7GoricaGorica8224913-48
8NK Istra 1961Istra 19618224414-108
9NK Lokomotiva8125615-95
10Slaven Koprivnica8116813-54


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