MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 04:54:11| >> :60:3447:3447:
Arbroath
Scottish Challenge Cup | Fourth Round
Dec 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Gayfield Park
Dunfermline Athletic

Arbroath
1 - 5
Dunfermline

O'Brien (74')
Shanks (85')
FT(HT: 0-4)
MacDonald (6'), Todd (19', 36'), Benedictus (22'), Wighton (68')
Fisher (80')
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Fourth Round clash between Arbroath and Dunfermline Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arbroath 1-1 Morton
Saturday, December 3 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Dunfermline 1-1 QotS
Saturday, December 3 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 36.63%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 34.19% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.51%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (11.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
ArbroathDrawDunfermline Athletic
36.63% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 29.18% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 34.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 44.31%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.51% (0.00099999999999767 0)62.49%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.91%82.09%
Arbroath Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.38% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)32.62% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.84%69.16% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Dunfermline Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)34.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)70.94% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Score Analysis
    Arbroath 36.63%
    Dunfermline Athletic 34.19%
    Draw 29.18%
ArbroathDrawDunfermline Athletic
1-0 @ 12.51%
2-1 @ 7.51%
2-0 @ 7.01%
3-1 @ 2.81%
3-0 @ 2.62%
3-2 @ 1.5%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 36.63%
1-1 @ 13.41%
0-0 @ 11.17%
2-2 @ 4.03%
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 29.18%
0-1 @ 11.97%
1-2 @ 7.19%
0-2 @ 6.42% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.57%
0-3 @ 2.29% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 34.19%

How you voted: Arbroath vs TBC

Arbroath
75.0%
Draw
25.0%
TBC
0.0%
8
Head to Head
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Arbroath
1-0
Dunfermline
Gold (9')
O'Brien (73'), McKenna (87')

Pybus (29')
Dec 26, 2021 3pm
Dunfermline
0-3
Arbroath

Connolly (56'), McCann (57'), Fon Williams (82')
Breen (6' og.), McKenna (45'), Dowds (81')
Hamilton (49')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Arbroath
4-2
Dunfermline
O'Brien (15'), McKenna (37', 85' pen.), Linn (77')
McKenna (51'), Hilson (78')
O'Hara (8', 12')
(77')
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Dunfermline
0-3
Arbroath

Pybus (26')
McKenna (12', 67'), Gold (44')
Stewart (54')
Apr 24, 2021 3pm
Dunfermline
4-3
Arbroath
McManus (10' pen.), O'Hara (15'), Wighton (57', 75')
Henderson (34'), Whittaker (61')
Hamilton (33'), Low (35' pen.), Stewart (82')
Little (52')
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