MX23RW : Tuesday, October 1 12:14:42| >> :60:127:127:
Clyde
Scottish Challenge Cup | Third Round
Sep 24, 2022 at 3pm UK
Broadwood Stadium

Clyde
1 - 0
Caernarfon

Grant (90+1')
Grant (57')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Mudimu (4'), Edwards (79'), Hughes (83')
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Third Round clash between Clyde and Caernarfon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Airdrieonians 5-0 Clyde
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Caernarfon 2-1 Haverfordwest
Saturday, September 17 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 57.21%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Clyde had a probability of 21.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.82%) and 0-2 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.96%), while for a Clyde win it was 2-1 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
ClydeDrawCaernarfon Town
21.21% (0.051000000000002 0.05) 21.58% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 57.21% (-0.058 -0.06)
Both teams to score 58.37% (0.050000000000004 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.19% (0.030000000000001 0.03)39.81% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.83% (0.030000000000001 0.03)62.17% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Clyde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.67% (0.063999999999993 0.06)32.33% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.17% (0.073 0.07)68.83% (-0.071000000000012 -0.07)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.26% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)13.74% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.99% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)41.01% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Clyde 21.21%
    Caernarfon Town 57.21%
    Draw 21.58%
ClydeDrawCaernarfon Town
2-1 @ 5.62% (0.011 0.01)
1-0 @ 5.02% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 2.83% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.12% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.1% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.07% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 21.21%
1-1 @ 9.96% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 5.58% (0.008 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.44% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.39% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 21.58%
1-2 @ 9.88% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
0-1 @ 8.82% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.75% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 6.54% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-3 @ 5.79% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.69% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 3.24% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
0-4 @ 2.87% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.83% (0.002 0)
1-5 @ 1.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-5 @ 1.14% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 57.21%

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