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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 7
Sep 17, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
The Oval

Caernarfon
2 - 1
Haverfordwest

O'Rourke (5'), Faux (70')
Donohue (48')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Wilson (57')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Haverfordwest County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

Last Six:
Last Game: Caernarfon 3-1 Airbus UK
Friday, September 2 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Haverfordwest County

Last Six:
Last Game: Haverfordwest 2-3 Newtown
Saturday, September 3 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 47.34%. A win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 29.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.9%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Haverfordwest County win was 1-2 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Caernarfon Town in this match.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawHaverfordwest County
47.34% (0.47300000000001 0.47) 23.29% (-0.099 -0.1) 29.36% (-0.377 -0.38)
Both teams to score 61.2% (0.104 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.98% (0.247 0.25)40.02% (-0.248 -0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.61% (0.255 0.26)62.38% (-0.257 -0.26)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.81% (0.277 0.28)17.18% (-0.279 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.55% (0.487 0.49)47.45% (-0.489 -0.49)
Haverfordwest County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.9% (-0.123 -0.12)26.1% (0.121 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.84% (-0.16399999999999 -0.16)61.16% (0.162 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 47.34%
    Haverfordwest County 29.36%
    Draw 23.29%
Caernarfon TownDrawHaverfordwest County
2-1 @ 9.34% (0.032 0.03)
1-0 @ 7.9% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.96% (0.047 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.49% (0.069 0.07)
3-0 @ 4.08% (0.065 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.68% (0.034 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.42% (0.052 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.8% (0.045 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.62% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 4.06%
Total : 47.34%
1-1 @ 10.61% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 6.28%
0-0 @ 4.49% (-0.050999999999999 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.65% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.29%
1-2 @ 7.13% (-0.066 -0.07)
0-1 @ 6.02% (-0.091 -0.09)
0-2 @ 4.05% (-0.075 -0.08)
1-3 @ 3.19% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.81% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.81% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.07% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-4 @ 0.94% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 29.36%

Head to Head
Aug 13, 2022 2.30pm
Haverfordwest
1-0
Caernarfon
Davies (80')

Wynne (52')
Mar 26, 2022 3pm
Haverfordwest
0-0
Caernarfon

Shepherd (5'), Williams (33'), Rees (90+3')

Disney (12'), Holmes (32'), Horan (42'), Owens (83')
Nov 20, 2021 2.30pm
Haverfordwest
1-2
Caernarfon
Jones-Thomas (68')
Rees (42'), Patten (63')
Edwards (30'), Jones (61')
Gosset (35'), Evans (45'), Edwards (64'), Ojrzynski (85')
Aug 14, 2021 5.15pm
Caernarfon
2-0
Haverfordwest
Gosset (74'), Jones (90+4')
Hughes (32'), Simpson (42'), Thomas (66')

Shepherd (59'), Jones (72'), Summerfield (90+4')
Nov 28, 2020 2.30pm
Caernarfon
1-4
Haverfordwest
Edwards (25')
Kenny (39'), Thomas (68'), Edwards (70')
Tibbetts (7')
Wilson (29'), Fawcett (37', 56'), Griffiths (87')
Fawcett (35')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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