Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 7
Sep 17, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
The Oval
Caernarfon2 - 1Haverfordwest
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Haverfordwest County.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Caernarfon 3-1 Airbus UK
Friday, September 2 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Friday, September 2 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | Cardiff MU | 5 | 6 | 12 |
3 | Caernarfon Town | 5 | 6 | 9 |
4 | Flint Town United | 5 | 3 | 9 |
Last Game: Haverfordwest 2-3 Newtown
Saturday, September 3 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, September 3 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
7 | Bala Town | 5 | 3 | 7 |
8 | Haverfordwest County | 5 | 2 | 7 |
9 | Newtown AFC | 5 | -3 | 7 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 47.34%. A win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 29.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.9%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Haverfordwest County win was 1-2 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Caernarfon Town in this match.
Result | ||
Caernarfon Town | Draw | Haverfordwest County |
47.34% ( 0.47) | 23.29% ( -0.1) | 29.36% ( -0.38) |
Both teams to score 61.2% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.98% ( 0.25) | 40.02% ( -0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.61% ( 0.26) | 62.38% ( -0.26) |
Caernarfon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.81% ( 0.28) | 17.18% ( -0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.55% ( 0.49) | 47.45% ( -0.49) |
Haverfordwest County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.9% ( -0.12) | 26.1% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.84% ( -0.16) | 61.16% ( 0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Caernarfon Town 47.34%
Haverfordwest County 29.36%
Draw 23.29%
Caernarfon Town | Draw | Haverfordwest County |
2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.9% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.49% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 4.08% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.42% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.8% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.03) Other @ 4.06% Total : 47.34% | 1-1 @ 10.61% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.28% 0-0 @ 4.49% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.29% | 1-2 @ 7.13% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 6.02% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.34% Total : 29.36% |
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2022 2.30pm
Mar 26, 2022 3pm
Haverfordwest
0-0
Caernarfon
Shepherd (5'), Williams (33'), Rees (90+3')
Nov 20, 2021 2.30pm
Haverfordwest
1-2
Caernarfon
Jones-Thomas (68')
Rees (42'), Patten (63')
Rees (42'), Patten (63')
Aug 14, 2021 5.15pm
Caernarfon
2-0
Haverfordwest
Gosset (74'), Jones (90+4')
Hughes (32'), Simpson (42'), Thomas (66')
Hughes (32'), Simpson (42'), Thomas (66')
Shepherd (59'), Jones (72'), Summerfield (90+4')
Nov 28, 2020 2.30pm
Caernarfon
1-4
Haverfordwest
Wilson (29'), Fawcett (37', 56'), Griffiths (87')
Fawcett (35')
Fawcett (35')
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-10-02 18:30:37
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 23 |
2 | Cardiff MUCardiff MU | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 20 |
3 | Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 18 |
4 | Bala TownBala Town | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 16 |
5 | The New SaintsNew Saints | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 15 |
6 | Newtown AFCNewtown | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 15 |
7 | Caernarfon TownCaernarfon | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 14 |
8 | Barry Town UnitedBarry | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 13 |
9 | Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 8 |
10 | Flint Town UnitedFlint Town | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
11 | Briton Ferry | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 5 |
12 | Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 23 | -18 | 4 |
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