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Santos
Brasileiro | Gameweek 3
Jun 12, 2021 at 11pm UK
Vila Belmiro, Santos

Santos
0 - 0
Juventude


Mota (24'), Peres (40')
FT

Elton (23'), Castilho (52'), Capixaba (87')

Preview: Santos vs. Juventude - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Brasileiro clash between Santos and Juventude, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Santos will look to haul themselves up the nascent Brasileiro table with a win against Juventude at Allianz Parque this Saturday.

Yet to win a game so far this season, Juventude will be desperate to increase their points tally this weekend and put some distance between themselves and the teams languishing near the bottom.


Match preview

Santos' Kaio Jorge celebrates scoring their third goal on June 6, 2021© Reuters

Despite being Copa Libertadores finalists, Santos ended up slumping to an eighth-place finish in the league last season, and there are concerns that the team have carried that poor form into the new campaign.

In this season's Copa Libertadores group stage, Santos finished in third place behind Boca Juniors and Ecuadorian outfit Barcelona SC.

Fernando Diniz's men were even beaten 2-1 by Bolivian minnows The Strongest in a tempestuous duel that saw the referee brandish three red cards and five yellow cards.

With the Brasileiro back underway, Diniz will hope his side can begin building up form and reclaim their spot at the head of the pack.

Juventude manager Marquinhos Santos pictured in 2019© Reuters

Back in the big time, Juventude will need to graft if they plan on sticking around in Brazil's highest tier for a sustained period of time.

Following a 2-2 draw against Cuiaba on the first day of the campaign, Marquinhos Santos's Juventude side were beaten 3-0 by Athletico-PR.

Registering just one shot on target during that tie, Juventude will need to up the ante if they are to begin getting wins under their belt.

Back-to-back tests against Santos and Palmeiras this week will give fans a good idea what they can expect from Juventude this season.

Santos Brasileiro form:
  • L
  • W

Santos form (all competitions):
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W

Juventude Brasileiro form:
  • D
  • L

Juventude form (all competitions):
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • L



Team News

The big guns Kaio Jorge and Marinho are both expected to start this tie despite both coming off early last time out in the cup.

Lucas Braga, Sandry, Jobson, Carlos Sanchez, Raniel and Rafael Longuine are all still out with injuries.

Juventude have a fully fit squad to choose from, and boss Santos has no injury concerns to worry about.

Despite losing last time out, it is unlikely that Santos will tinker with his side too much, with the boss expected to keep faith in his starting 11.

Santos possible starting lineup:
John; Para, Felipe, Peres, Jonatan; Marinho, Alison, Mota, Pirani, Guilherme; Jorge

Juventude possible starting lineup:
Carne; Michel, Mendes, Forster, Alyson, Castilho, Paulo, Capixaba, Wescley, Kim; Peixoto


SM words green background

We say: Santos 2-0 Juventude

Neither of these sides are in great form, but we expect Santos to come out on top here due to the gulf in class between the two.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Written by
Francis Buchanan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 56.46%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 19.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for a Juventude win it was 0-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Santos vs Juventude

Santos
80.0%
Draw
10.0%
Juventude
10.0%
20
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Santos' Angelo Gabriel celebrates scoring their fifth goal with teammates on May 4, 2021
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13Fluminense381210163339-646
14Gremio38129174450-645
15JuventudeJuventude381112154859-1145
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17Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR38119184046-642
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