Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 22, 2023 at 3pm UK
East End Park
Dunfermline0 - 2Kilmarnock
Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Dunfermline Athletic and Kilmarnock.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Dunfermline 4-0 Annan
Tuesday, July 18 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup
Tuesday, July 18 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Kilmarnock 3-0 Annan
Saturday, July 15 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Saturday, July 15 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 40.56%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 33.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.
Result | ||
Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Kilmarnock |
33.76% ( -0.02) | 25.67% ( 0.01) | 40.56% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 54.96% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.93% ( -0.04) | 49.07% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.85% ( -0.03) | 71.15% ( 0.03) |
Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.25% ( -0.03) | 27.75% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.67% ( -0.04) | 63.32% ( 0.04) |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.07% ( -0.01) | 23.93% ( 0.01) |