MX23RW : Tuesday, October 1 08:31:08| >> :600:930670:930670:
Stirling Albion
Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 15, 2023 at 3pm UK
Forthbank Stadium
Ayr United

Stirling
1 - 1
Ayr

McGeachie (21')
Leitch (63')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bryden (84')
McKenzie (67')
Ayr win 4-3 on penalties
Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Stirling Albion and Ayr United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stirling Albion

All competitions
Last Game: Albion Rovers 2-0 Stirling
Saturday, May 6 at 3pm in Scottish League Two

Ayr United

All competitions
Last Game: Ayr 0-5 Partick
Friday, May 26 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership Playoffs

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 39.36%. A win for Stirling Albion had a probability of 35.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest Stirling Albion win was 1-0 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
Stirling AlbionDrawAyr United
35.5% (5.418 5.42) 25.15% (-0.63 -0.63) 39.36% (-4.788 -4.79)
Both teams to score 57.1% (3.916 3.92)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.55% (4.275 4.28)46.44% (-4.276 -4.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.27% (3.895 3.9)68.72% (-3.896 -3.9)
Stirling Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.53% (5.548 5.55)25.47% (-5.55 -5.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.7% (7.025 7.03)60.3% (-7.028 -7.03)
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.62% (-0.48699999999999 -0.49)23.38% (0.486 0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.64% (-0.712 -0.71)57.36% (0.712 0.71)
Score Analysis
    Stirling Albion 35.5%
    Ayr United 39.36%
    Draw 25.14%
Stirling AlbionDrawAyr United
1-0 @ 8.14% (-0.169 -0.17)
2-1 @ 8.09% (0.921 0.92)
2-0 @ 5.57% (0.705 0.71)
3-1 @ 3.69% (0.892 0.89)
3-2 @ 2.68% (0.619 0.62)
3-0 @ 2.54% (0.64 0.64)
4-1 @ 1.26% (0.443 0.44)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.313 0.31)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 35.5%
1-1 @ 11.83% (-0.42 -0.42)
0-0 @ 5.95% (-1.147 -1.15)
2-2 @ 5.88% (0.594 0.59)
3-3 @ 1.3% (0.285 0.29)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.14%
0-1 @ 8.65% (-1.807 -1.81)
1-2 @ 8.6% (-0.434 -0.43)
0-2 @ 6.29% (-1.429 -1.43)
1-3 @ 4.17% (-0.274 -0.27)
0-3 @ 3.05% (-0.747 -0.75)
2-3 @ 2.85% (0.25 0.25)
1-4 @ 1.51% (-0.122 -0.12)
0-4 @ 1.11% (-0.291 -0.29)
2-4 @ 1.04% (0.077 0.08)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 39.36%

Head to Head
Apr 25, 2015 3pm
Ayr
4-0
Stirling
Devlin (6'), Blakeman (21', 87'), Paul McGovern (73' pen.)

Comrie (24'), Hamilton (31'), Forsyth (82')
Hamilton (72')
Feb 14, 2015 3pm
Stirling
1-4
Ayr
Johnston (54')
Smith (43'), McKinlay (62')
Robertson (12'), Smith (15' og.), Beattie (74'), Preston (83')
Robertson (45'), Murray (93')
Dec 20, 2014 3pm
Ayr
2-2
Stirling
Forrest (55'), Beattie (90')
Cummins (65')
Doris (66', 80')
Comrie (48')
Aug 16, 2014 3pm
Stirling
1-3
Ayr
Smith (60' pen.)
Robertson (27'), Smith (67'), Wedderburn (83')
Forrest (5', 56'), Gilmour (69')
McLaughlin (79')
rhs 2.0
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