Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 53.01%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 23.95% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-2 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.