Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 39.48%. A win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 35.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.07%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest Annan Athletic win was 1-2 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arbroath would win this match.