Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 41.98%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 30.99% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.
Result | ||
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
30.99% (![]() | 27.03% (![]() | 41.98% (![]() |
Both teams to score 49.74% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.64% (![]() | 55.36% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.43% (![]() | 76.57% (![]() |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.24% (![]() | 32.75% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.69% (![]() | 69.31% (![]() |
Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.96% (![]() | 26.04% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.93% (![]() | 61.07% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
1-0 @ 9.52% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.15% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.31% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.66% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.98% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.79% ( ![]() Other @ 2.59% Total : 30.99% | 1-1 @ 12.8% 0-0 @ 8.53% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.81% ( ![]() Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.02% | 0-1 @ 11.47% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.62% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.72% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.87% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.46% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.16% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.3% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.17% ( ![]() Other @ 2.21% Total : 41.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 28 | 16 | 4 | 8 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 52 |
2 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 47 |
3 | Cove Rangers | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 44 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 41 | 35 | 6 | 40 |
5 | Kelty Hearts | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 35 |
6 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 29 | 35 | -6 | 35 |
7 | Montrose | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 32 |
8 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 29 |
9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 29 | 53 | -24 | 27 |
10 | Dumbarton | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 34 | 55 | -21 | 8 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |