Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 41.06%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 32.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Montrose win was 0-1 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Montrose |
41.06% ( 0.02) | 26.13% ( 0.17) | 32.81% ( -0.19) |
Both teams to score 53.18% ( -0.61) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.76% ( -0.76) | 51.24% ( 0.76) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.92% ( -0.67) | 73.07% ( 0.67) |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.35% ( -0.33) | 24.65% ( 0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.83% ( -0.47) | 59.16% ( 0.46) |
Montrose Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.58% ( -0.5) | 29.42% ( 0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.58% ( -0.62) | 65.41% ( 0.62) |
Score Analysis |
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Montrose |
1-0 @ 10.15% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 8.7% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.11% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 4.06% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.64% Total : 41.05% | 1-1 @ 12.42% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.12% | 0-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 7.6% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.48% Total : 32.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Kelty Hearts | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 22 |
2 | Arbroath | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 21 |
4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
6 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 18 |
7 | Montrose | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 17 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 14 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 4 |
10 | Dumbarton | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 0 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |