Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 41.06%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 32.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Montrose win was 0-1 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Montrose |
41.06% (![]() | 26.13% (![]() | 32.81% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.18% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.76% (![]() | 51.24% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.92% (![]() | 73.07% (![]() |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.35% (![]() | 24.65% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.83% (![]() | 59.16% (![]() |
Montrose Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.58% (![]() | 29.42% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.58% (![]() | 65.41% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Montrose |
1-0 @ 10.15% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.7% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.11% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.06% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.32% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.49% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.42% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.16% ( ![]() Other @ 2.64% Total : 41.05% | 1-1 @ 12.42% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.25% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.32% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.01% ( ![]() Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.12% | 0-1 @ 8.87% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.6% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.43% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.1% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.21% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.17% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 2.48% Total : 32.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 28 | 16 | 4 | 8 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 52 |
2 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 47 |
3 | Cove Rangers | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 44 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 41 | 35 | 6 | 40 |
5 | Kelty Hearts | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 35 |
6 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 29 | 35 | -6 | 35 |
7 | Montrose | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 32 |
8 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 29 |
9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 29 | 53 | -24 | 27 |
10 | Dumbarton | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 34 | 55 | -21 | 8 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |