Scottish Challenge Cup | Third Round
Sep 7, 2024 at 3pm UK
Gayfield Park
Arbroath3 - 0Montrose
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Third Round clash between Arbroath and Montrose.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Arbroath 0-0 Alloa
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Cove Rangers 1-0 Montrose
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 39.45%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 35.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-0 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Arbroath | Draw | Montrose |
35.39% ( 0.1) | 25.15% ( 0.01) | 39.45% ( -0.1) |
Both teams to score 57.07% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.51% ( -0.01) | 46.49% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.23% ( -0.01) | 68.77% ( 0.01) |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.45% ( 0.05) | 25.54% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.59% ( 0.07) | 60.41% ( -0.07) |
Montrose Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.65% ( -0.06) | 23.35% ( 0.06) |