MX23RW : Friday, January 24 14:40:56| >> :60:906:906:
Arbroath
Scottish Challenge Cup | Third Round
Sep 7, 2024 at 3pm UK
Gayfield Park
Montrose

Arbroath
3 - 0
Montrose

O'Brien (23' pen.), Stewart (29'), Callaghan (82')
Wilkie (32')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Steeves (50')
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Third Round clash between Arbroath and Montrose.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arbroath

All competitions
Last Game: Arbroath 0-0 Alloa
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Montrose

All competitions
Last Game: Cove Rangers 1-0 Montrose
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 39.45%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 35.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-0 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
ArbroathDrawMontrose
35.39% (0.097999999999999 0.1) 25.15% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 39.45% (-0.103 -0.1)
Both teams to score 57.07% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.51% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)46.49% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.23% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)68.77% (0.012 0.01)
Arbroath Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.45% (0.048999999999992 0.05)25.54% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.59% (0.068000000000005 0.07)60.41% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Montrose Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.65% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)23.35% (0.058 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.68% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)57.32% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Arbroath 35.39%
    Montrose 39.45%
    Draw 25.15%
ArbroathDrawMontrose
1-0 @ 8.14% (0.016 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.08% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.56% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.68% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.67% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 2.53% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.25% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.91% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 35.39%
1-1 @ 11.84% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.88%
3-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.15%
0-1 @ 8.68% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.61% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.31% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.18% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.06% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.85% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.52% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.11% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.04% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 39.45%

Head to Head
Aug 10, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 2
Arbroath
0-0
Montrose
Wilkie (70')
Masson (39'), Gardyne (58'), Steeves (62')
Gardyne (60')
Jul 29, 2023 3pm
Group Stage
Arbroath
3-0
Montrose
McIntosh (12'), Dunnwald (70'), Bird (79')

Steeves (77')
Oct 10, 2020 3pm
Group Stage
Arbroath
3-1
Montrose
Swankie (27'), Thomson (43'), O'Brien (86')
Gold (61'), Ruth (70')
Webster (10')
Watson (87')
Apr 6, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 32
Arbroath
1-0
Montrose
Little (64')
O'Brien (43')

Watson (5'), Dillon (14'), Masson (64'), Steeves (94')
Dec 29, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 19
Montrose
1-1
Arbroath
Rennie (75')
Dillon (55'), Steeves (70')
Watson (53')
O'Brien (77')
McKenna (49'), Swankie (55')
rhs 2.0
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