Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Annan Athletic win with a probability of 42.75%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 33.89% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Annan Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.03%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Annan Athletic | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
42.75% ( -0.17) | 23.37% ( -0.02) | 33.89% ( 0.19) |
Both teams to score 63.21% ( 0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.66% ( 0.16) | 38.34% ( -0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.37% ( 0.17) | 60.62% ( -0.17) |
Annan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.65% ( -0) | 18.35% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.53% ( -0.01) | 49.47% ( 0.01) |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.42% ( 0.18) | 22.58% ( -0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.81% ( 0.26) | 56.19% ( -0.26) |
Score Analysis |
Annan Athletic | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
2-1 @ 8.86% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.03% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 5.96% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 5.01% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.73% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.58% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.67% Total : 42.75% | 1-1 @ 10.45% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.59% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.15% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.36% | 1-2 @ 7.78% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.17% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.86% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.27% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.29% Total : 33.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 21 |
2 | Cove Rangers | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 20 |
3 | Kelty Hearts | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 19 |
4 | Arbroath | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 19 |
5 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 18 |
6 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 18 |
7 | Montrose | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 17 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 14 |
9 | Dumbarton | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 12 |
10 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 1 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |