Scottish League Cup | Quarter-Finals

Sep 26, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Rugby Park

Kilmarnock
1 - 2
Hearts

Lyons (68')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Grant (40'), Lowry (90+2')
Grant (50'), Haring (60'), Nieuwenhof (88'), Sibbick (90+6')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Scottish League Cup clash between Kilmarnock and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions

Scottish League Cup

Last Game: Dundee 2-2 Kilmarnock
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Hearts

All competitions

Scottish League Cup

Last Game: St Mirren 1-0 Hearts
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Kilmarnock 1-2 Hearts

Kilmarnock were minutes away from their second win of the league campaign on Saturday, and they must now bounce back from that disappointment to fight for their place in the semi-finals of the League Cup. Hearts have endured a tricky start to the term, but we are backing Shakland and company to click into gear to fire the Jam Tarts into the last four on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 38.1%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 36.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.13%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 1-0 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Hearts in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Hearts.

Result
Kilmarnock	Draw	Hearts
36.55% ( 0.01)	25.35% ( 0)	38.1% ( -0)

Both teams to score 56.49%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.71% (

-0)

47.28% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.49% (

-0)

69.51% (

0.01)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.74% (

25.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.98% (

60.02% (

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.59% (

-0)

24.41% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.16% (

-0.01)

58.84% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Kilmarnock 36.55%

Hearts 38.1%

Draw 25.35%

Kilmarnock	Draw	Hearts
1-0 @ 8.49% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.23% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.84% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.78% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.68% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.66% 4-1 @ 1.3% 4-0 @ 0.92% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.74% Total : 36.55%	1-1 @ 11.96% 0-0 @ 6.17% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.8% 3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.35%	0-1 @ 8.7% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.44% 0-2 @ 6.13% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.97% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.88% 2-3 @ 2.73% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.4% 0-4 @ 1.02% 2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 1.89% Total : 38.1%