Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 42.2%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 31.74% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Kilmarnock | Draw | Hibernian |
42.2% ( 0.05) | 26.05% ( -0.02) | 31.74% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 53.07% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.78% ( 0.07) | 51.22% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.94% ( 0.05) | 73.06% ( -0.05) |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.94% ( 0.06) | 24.06% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.67% ( 0.08) | 58.33% ( -0.08) |
Hibernian Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.88% ( 0.01) | 30.11% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.74% ( 0.01) | 66.26% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Kilmarnock | Draw | Hibernian |
1-0 @ 10.32% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.83% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.35% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.19% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0) Other @ 2.77% Total : 42.2% | 1-1 @ 12.38% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.24% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.04% | 0-1 @ 8.7% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.43% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.97% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.09% ( -0) Other @ 3.22% Total : 31.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 15 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 43 |
2 | Aberdeen | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 34 |
3 | RangersRangers | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 32 |
4 | Motherwell | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 25 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 24 |
6 | St Mirren | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 21 |
7 | Dundee | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 19 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 34 | -16 | 17 |
9 | Hibernian | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 15 |
10 | Ross County | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 33 | -20 | 15 |
11 | St Johnstone | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 14 |
12 | Hearts | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 13 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |