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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 23
Jan 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
Tony Macaroni Arena
Dundee logo

Livingston
1 - 4
Dundee

Yengi (78' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bakayoko (19'), McCowan (62'), Robinson (79'), Mellon (87')
Dodgson (44'), McCowan (53')
McCowan (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Livingston and Dundee, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hearts 3-2 Dundee
Tuesday, January 23 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Livingston 2-1 Dundee

Livingston will not get many better opportunities to end their lengthy winless streak than a home fixture against a promoted team, especially having benefitted from a full week's rest, which is in contrast to Dundee after their devastating defeat to Hearts on Tuesday. We can envisage another tight encounter for the visitors, but Livingston have shown some signs of improvements in recent fixtures, and we think that they may finally put all three points on the board. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 36.63%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 36.12% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.99%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Dundee win was 0-1 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
LivingstonDrawDundee
36.63% (-0.137 -0.14) 27.25% (-0.124 -0.12) 36.12% (0.26 0.26)
Both teams to score 50.13% (0.398 0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.64% (0.49299999999999 0.49)55.36% (-0.494 -0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.43% (0.403 0.4)76.57% (-0.40599999999999 -0.41)
Livingston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.96% (0.158 0.16)29.04% (-0.16 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.05% (0.194 0.19)64.95% (-0.194 -0.19)
Dundee Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.64% (0.402 0.4)29.36% (-0.404 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.66% (0.491 0.49)65.34% (-0.494 -0.49)
Score Analysis
    Livingston 36.63%
    Dundee 36.12%
    Draw 27.25%
LivingstonDrawDundee
1-0 @ 10.54% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-1 @ 7.99% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.52% (-0.066999999999999 -0.07)
3-1 @ 3.29% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.69% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.02% (0.033 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.02% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 36.63%
1-1 @ 12.92% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 8.53% (-0.164 -0.16)
2-2 @ 4.9% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 27.25%
0-1 @ 10.45% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-2 @ 7.92% (0.061 0.06)
0-2 @ 6.4% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.24% (0.061 0.06)
0-3 @ 2.62% (0.037 0.04)
2-3 @ 2% (0.046 0.05)
1-4 @ 0.99% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 36.12%

How you voted: Livingston vs Dundee

Livingston
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Dundee
20.0%
10
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 16
Dundee
1-0
Livingston
McCowan (57')
Shaughnessy (6'), McCowan (12')

Lloyd (47'), Kelly (56'), Nottingham (80')
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Livingston
0-2
Dundee

Montano (70')
Shaughnessy (82', 85')
May 15, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 5
Livingston
2-1
Dundee
Shinnie (78'), Forrest (84')
Montano (23')
Mulligan (59')
Mulligan (20'), Marshall (67')
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 28
Dundee
0-4
Livingston

Mullen (29'), Daley-Campbell (49')
Anderson (6', 21'), Pittman (18'), Fitzwater (65')
Jan 18, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Livingston
2-0
Dundee
Anderson (46', 56')
Shinnie (29'), Pittman (43'), Holt (48')

Anderson (19'), Adam (49'), Mulligan (85')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1614204444044
2RangersRangers1611232891935
3Aberdeen17104331211034
4Motherwell178272327-426
5Dundee UnitedDundee Utd176742519625
6St Mirren187382429-524
7Dundee175482730-319
8Hibernian184682430-618
9Kilmarnock184681935-1618
10Hearts1844102027-716
11Ross County183691435-2115
12St Johnstone1842122134-1314


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