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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 14
Dec 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Tynecastle Park
Aberdeen logo

Hearts
1 - 1
Aberdeen

Devlin (62' og.)
Halkett (42')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Clarkson (37')
Molloy (45'), McGarry (45+6'), Heltne Nilsen (52'), Shinnie (72'), Lopes (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and Aberdeen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cercle Brugge 2-0 Hearts
Thursday, November 28 at 5.45pm in Conference League
Last Game: Hibernian 3-3 Aberdeen
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Hearts 1-2 Aberdeen

Aberdeen have lost momentum with their last two results, but we think they will return to winning ways when they face a Hearts side that will be low on confidence after losing each of their previous four matches in all competitions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 32.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
HeartsDrawAberdeen
41.81% (-0.379 -0.38) 25.61% (0.295 0.3) 32.58% (0.077000000000005 0.08)
Both teams to score 54.81% (-0.96400000000001 -0.96)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.89% (-1.264 -1.26)49.1% (1.258 1.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.82% (-1.152 -1.15)71.17% (1.146 1.15)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.67% (-0.736 -0.74)23.32% (0.729 0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.72% (-1.077 -1.08)57.27% (1.071 1.07)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.48% (-0.56999999999999 -0.57)28.51% (0.564 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.7% (-0.722 -0.72)64.29% (0.715 0.71)
Score Analysis
    Hearts 41.81%
    Aberdeen 32.58%
    Draw 25.6%
HeartsDrawAberdeen
1-0 @ 9.68% (0.288 0.29)
2-1 @ 8.84% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-0 @ 7.05% (0.06 0.06)
3-1 @ 4.29% (-0.125 -0.13)
3-0 @ 3.42% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.69% (-0.123 -0.12)
4-1 @ 1.56% (-0.08 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.24% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 41.81%
1-1 @ 12.14% (0.17 0.17)
0-0 @ 6.65% (0.336 0.34)
2-2 @ 5.55% (-0.129 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.6%
0-1 @ 8.34% (0.295 0.3)
1-2 @ 7.62% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.24% (0.104 0.1)
1-3 @ 3.19% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.32% (-0.092 -0.09)
0-3 @ 2.19% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 1% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 32.58%

How you voted: Hearts vs Aberdeen

Hearts
32.8%
Draw
11.5%
Aberdeen
55.7%
61
Head to Head
Oct 6, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 7
Aberdeen
3-2
Hearts
Keskinen (2'), Devlin (65'), Palaversa (88')
Palaversa (90+6')
Kent (36'), Spittal (63')
Shankland (30'), Dhanda (56'), Grant (75'), Forrester (76'), Penrice (83'), Gordon (86')
Grant (75')
Jan 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 23
Hearts
2-0
Aberdeen
Grant (57' pen.), Shankland (77')
Oda (68')

Shinnie (31'), Lopes (73')
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 17
Aberdeen
2-1
Hearts
Miovski (53'), Clarkson (90+2')
Gartenmann (59'), Miovski (65'), McGrath (78')
Shankland (20')
Nieuwenhof (33'), Lowry (41'), Baningime (64'), Kent (65'), Rowles (73'), Denholm (88'), Shankland (90+5')
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Hearts
2-0
Aberdeen
Oda (14'), Boyce (64')
Haring (11'), Kent (30'), Boyce (32'), Atkinson (56')

Clarkson (25'), Rubezic (61')
May 20, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 36
Hearts
2-1
Aberdeen
Ginnelly (43'), Shankland (56')
Devlin (25')
Pollock (31')
Hayes (11'), Robson (12'), Watkins (25'), Miovski (49'), Ramadani (53')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1514104444043
2RangersRangers1611232891935
3Aberdeen17104331211034
4Motherwell178272327-426
5Dundee UnitedDundee Utd166642519624
6St Mirren187382429-524
7Dundee175482730-319
8Hibernian184682430-618
9Kilmarnock184681935-1618
10Ross County183691435-2115
11St Johnstone1742112032-1214
12Hearts1734101826-813


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