Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 38.27%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 36.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.27%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 1-0 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Kilmarnock | Draw | Hibernian |
36.14% ( -0) | 25.59% ( 0.02) | 38.27% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 55.63% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.62% ( -0.09) | 48.37% ( 0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.49% ( -0.08) | 70.51% ( 0.08) |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.99% ( -0.05) | 26% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.97% ( -0.06) | 61.02% ( 0.06) |
Hibernian Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.18% ( -0.05) | 24.81% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.6% ( -0.07) | 59.4% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Kilmarnock | Draw | Hibernian |
1-0 @ 8.69% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.16% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.85% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.66% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.63% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 3.35% Total : 36.14% | 1-1 @ 12.11% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.58% | 0-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.44% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.27% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.92% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.91% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.37% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.01% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.8% Total : 38.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 21 | 21 |
2 | Aberdeen | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 21 |
3 | RangersRangers | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 16 |
4 | Motherwell | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 13 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 12 |
6 | St Mirren | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 8 |
7 | Ross County | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 7 |
8 | Dundee | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 6 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 6 |
10 | Hibernian | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 5 |
11 | St Johnstone | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 4 |
12 | Hearts | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 2 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |