Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 67.83%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Hibernian had a probability of 13.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 1-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.5%), while for a Hibernian win it was 1-2 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rangers would win this match.
Result | ||
Rangers | Draw | Hibernian |
67.83% ( 0.6) | 18.28% ( -0.17) | 13.89% ( -0.42) |
Both teams to score 54.64% ( -0.55) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.59% ( -0.16) | 37.41% ( 0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.37% ( -0.17) | 59.63% ( 0.17) |
Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.89% ( 0.11) | 10.11% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.73% ( 0.24) | 33.27% ( -0.23) |
Hibernian Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.78% ( -0.69) | 39.21% ( 0.69) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.07% ( -0.65) | 75.92% ( 0.65) |
Score Analysis |
Rangers | Draw | Hibernian |
2-0 @ 10.41% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 7.95% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 7.45% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 4.56% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 4.27% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 2.09% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 2% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.02) 5-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.93% Total : 67.83% | 1-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 3.96% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.16% Total : 18.28% | 1-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.8% Total : 13.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 3 | 26 | 28 |
2 | Aberdeen | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 28 |
3 | RangersRangers | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 19 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 16 |
5 | Motherwell | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
6 | Dundee | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 12 |
7 | St Mirren | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |