Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 67.83%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Hibernian had a probability of 13.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 1-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.5%), while for a Hibernian win it was 1-2 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rangers would win this match.
Result | ||
Rangers | Draw | Hibernian |
67.83% ( 0.6) | 18.28% ( -0.17) | 13.89% ( -0.42) |
Both teams to score 54.64% ( -0.55) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.59% ( -0.16) | 37.41% ( 0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.37% ( -0.17) | 59.63% ( 0.17) |
Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.89% ( 0.11) | 10.11% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.73% ( 0.24) | 33.27% ( -0.23) |
Hibernian Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.78% ( -0.69) | 39.21% ( 0.69) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.07% ( -0.65) | 75.92% ( 0.65) |
Score Analysis |
Rangers | Draw | Hibernian |
2-0 @ 10.41% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 7.95% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 7.45% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 4.56% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 4.27% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 2.09% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 2% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.02) 5-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.93% Total : 67.83% | 1-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 3.96% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.16% Total : 18.28% | 1-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.8% Total : 13.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 16 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 44 |
2 | RangersRangers | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
3 | Aberdeen | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Motherwell | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 26 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 25 |
6 | St Mirren | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 24 |
7 | Dundee | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 19 |
8 | Hibernian | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 18 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 18 |
10 | Hearts | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Ross County | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 35 | -21 | 15 |
12 | St Johnstone | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |