Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 16

Nov 12, 2022 at 3pm UK

Rugby Park

Kilmarnock
1 - 0
Hibernian

Armstrong (53' pen.)
Power (40'), McKenzie (77')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Cabraja (12'), Porteous (66'), Cadden (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and Hibernian, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Dundee Utd 4-0 Kilmarnock
Wednesday, November 9 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Hibernian

All competitions

Last Game: Hibernian 0-2 Ross County
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Kilmarnock 1-1 Hibernian

In a match with significant permutations in the league standings, we expect both teams to give a good account of themselves as they search for some momentum. Despite this, there will be no separating the teams on the day and both Kilmarnock and Hibernian will have to make do with a point apiece. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 41.72%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 32.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kilmarnock in this match.

Result
Kilmarnock	Draw	Hibernian
41.72% ( 0.22)	25.63% ( 0.03)	32.65% ( -0.25)

Both teams to score 54.77% (

-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.83% (

-0.19)

49.16% (

0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.77% (

-0.18)

71.23% (

0.17)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.6% (

0.03)

23.39% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.62% (

0.04)

57.37% (

-0.04)

Hibernian Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.5% (

-0.26)

28.5% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.73% (

-0.32)

64.27% (

0.32)

Score Analysis

Kilmarnock 41.72%

Hibernian 32.65%

Draw 25.62%

Kilmarnock	Draw	Hibernian
1-0 @ 9.68% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.83% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.04% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.28% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.04% Total : 41.72%	1-1 @ 12.15% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.62%	0-1 @ 8.37% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.63% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.69% Total : 32.65%