Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 0-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Hearts | Draw | Hibernian |
41.53% ( -0.01) | 25.04% ( 0.01) | 33.44% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 57.04% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.66% ( -0.04) | 46.34% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.37% ( -0.04) | 68.62% ( 0.03) |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.74% ( -0.02) | 22.26% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.3% ( -0.03) | 55.7% ( 0.03) |
Hibernian Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.37% ( -0.02) | 26.63% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.14% ( -0.02) | 61.86% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Hearts | Draw | Hibernian |
1-0 @ 8.91% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.85% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.69% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.43% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.35% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.26% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 2.34% Total : 41.53% | 1-1 @ 11.78% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.03% | 0-1 @ 7.84% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.8% 0-2 @ 5.19% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.44% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.29% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 3.16% Total : 33.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 15 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 43 |
2 | Aberdeen | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 34 |
3 | RangersRangers | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 32 |
4 | Motherwell | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 25 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 24 |
6 | St Mirren | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 21 |
7 | Dundee | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 19 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 34 | -16 | 17 |
9 | Hibernian | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 15 |
10 | Ross County | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 33 | -20 | 15 |
11 | St Johnstone | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 14 |
12 | Hearts | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 13 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |