Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 41.96%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 30.52% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 0-1 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
Result | ||
Livingston | Draw | St Mirren |
41.96% ( -0.01) | 27.52% ( 0.01) | 30.52% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 48.11% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.66% ( -0.03) | 57.34% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.83% ( -0.03) | 78.17% ( 0.02) |
Livingston Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.04% ( -0.02) | 26.96% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.7% ( -0.03) | 62.3% ( 0.02) |
St Mirren Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.87% ( -0.02) | 34.13% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.18% ( -0.02) | 70.82% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Livingston | Draw | St Mirren |
1-0 @ 12.06% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.5% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.91% 3-1 @ 3.71% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.46% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 1.99% Total : 41.96% | 1-1 @ 12.96% 0-0 @ 9.2% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.57% ( -0) Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.51% | 0-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.97% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.32% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.5% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.91% 2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0) Other @ 2.3% Total : 30.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 3 | 28 | 31 |
2 | Aberdeen | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 22 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 19 |
5 | Motherwell | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Dundee | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |