Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 18

Dec 23, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Fir Park Stadium

Motherwell
2 - 2
Kilmarnock

van Veen (22'), Slattery (60')
Penney (59'), Slattery (74')

FT(HT: 1-0)

McGinn (73' og.), Polworth (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Scottish Premiership clash between Motherwell and Kilmarnock, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Motherwell

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Spurs 4-0 Motherwell
Friday, December 9 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Kilmarnock

All competitions

Last Game: Hearts 3-1 Kilmarnock
Saturday, December 17 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Motherwell 1-0 Kilmarnock

In a match with permutations at the bottom end of the table, we expect a closely fought affair which could go right to the wire as both teams search for some momentum. On this occasion, Motherwell will just do enough to edge past Kilmarnock and move further away from the relegation playoff slot. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 39.73%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 33.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-0 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
Motherwell	Draw	Kilmarnock
33.41% ( -0.12)	26.86% ( -0.03)	39.73% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 51.02% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.92% (

0.1)

54.08% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.49% (

0.08)

75.5% (

-0.08)

Motherwell Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.56% (

-0.03)

30.44% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.35% (

-0.04)

66.64% (

0.04)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.35% (

0.13)

26.65% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.11% (

0.17)

61.89% (

-0.17)

Score Analysis

Motherwell 33.41%

Kilmarnock 39.72%

Draw 26.85%

Motherwell	Draw	Kilmarnock
1-0 @ 9.65% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.59% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.01% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.28% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( 0) Other @ 3.16% Total : 33.41%	1-1 @ 12.75% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.11% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.85%	0-1 @ 10.72% 1-2 @ 8.44% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.09% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.72% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.15% Total : 39.72%