Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 39.73%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 33.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-0 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Motherwell | Draw | Kilmarnock |
33.41% ( -0.12) | 26.86% ( -0.03) | 39.73% ( 0.15) |
Both teams to score 51.02% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.92% ( 0.1) | 54.08% ( -0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.49% ( 0.08) | 75.5% ( -0.08) |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.56% ( -0.03) | 30.44% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.35% ( -0.04) | 66.64% ( 0.04) |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.35% ( 0.13) | 26.65% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.11% ( 0.17) | 61.89% ( -0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Motherwell | Draw | Kilmarnock |
1-0 @ 9.65% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.59% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.01% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.28% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( 0) Other @ 3.16% Total : 33.41% | 1-1 @ 12.75% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.11% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.85% | 0-1 @ 10.72% 1-2 @ 8.44% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.09% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.72% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.15% Total : 39.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 3 | 26 | 28 |
2 | Aberdeen | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 28 |
3 | RangersRangers | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 19 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 16 |
5 | Motherwell | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
6 | Dundee | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 12 |
7 | St Mirren | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |