Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 47.3%. A win for Benevento had a probability of 27.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-2 (8.44%). The likeliest Benevento win was 1-0 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
Result | ||
Benevento | Draw | Fiorentina |
27.24% | 25.45% | 47.3% |
Both teams to score 52.38% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.07% | 50.92% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.2% | 72.8% |
Benevento Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.76% | 33.24% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.14% | 69.85% |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.46% | 21.54% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.39% | 54.6% |
Score Analysis |
Benevento | Draw | Fiorentina |
1-0 @ 7.88% 2-1 @ 6.67% 2-0 @ 4.34% 3-1 @ 2.45% 3-2 @ 1.88% 3-0 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.43% Total : 27.24% | 1-1 @ 12.1% 0-0 @ 7.16% 2-2 @ 5.12% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.45% | 0-1 @ 10.99% 1-2 @ 9.3% 0-2 @ 8.44% 1-3 @ 4.76% 0-3 @ 4.32% 2-3 @ 2.62% 1-4 @ 1.83% 0-4 @ 1.66% 2-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.39% Total : 47.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 61 |
2 | Napoli | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 45 | 23 | 22 | 60 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 28 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 63 | 26 | 37 | 58 |
4 | Juventus | 28 | 13 | 13 | 2 | 45 | 25 | 20 | 52 |
5 | Lazio | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 50 | 36 | 14 | 51 |
6 | Bologna | 28 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 44 | 34 | 10 | 50 |
7 | Roma | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 43 | 30 | 13 | 46 |
8 | Fiorentina | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 43 | 30 | 13 | 45 |
9 | AC Milan | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 42 | 32 | 10 | 44 |
10 | Udinese | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Torino | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 35 |
12 | Genoa | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 32 |
13 | Como | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 29 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 28 | 43 | -15 | 26 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 28 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 28 | 58 | -30 | 26 |
16 | Lecce | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 20 | 46 | -26 | 25 |
17 | Parma | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 24 |
18 | Empoli | 28 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 23 | 45 | -22 | 22 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 28 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 23 | 42 | -19 | 19 |
20 | Monza | 28 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 23 | 48 | -25 | 14 |
> Serie A Full Table |