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Serie A header desktop

Serie A
Lazio logo
Serie A | Gameweek 10
Oct 30, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Fiorentina logo

Lazio
1 - 0
Fiorentina

Immobile (90+5' pen.)
Lazzari (31'), Rovella (45+2'), Sarri (60'), Zaccagni (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Duncan (40'), Ikone (45+2'), Bonaventura (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lazio

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Feyenoord 3-1 Lazio
Wednesday, October 25 at 5.45pm in Champions League

Fiorentina

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 6-0 Cukaricki
Thursday, October 26 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Lazio 2-1 Fiorentina

 Home advantage could make all the difference in this contest between two well-matched sides, as Lazio generally thrive on Roman soil while Fiorentina tend to wither. The Viola should score at least once at the Olimpico, given their hosts' defensive woes, but that may not prove enough for a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 33.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lazio in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lazio.

Result
LazioDrawFiorentina
40.59% (0.335 0.34) 25.76% (0.201 0.2) 33.65% (-0.539 -0.54)
Both teams to score 54.64% (-0.815 -0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.53% (-0.993 -0.99)49.47% (0.98999999999999 0.99)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.49% (-0.9 -0.9)71.51% (0.896 0.9)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.9% (-0.274 -0.27)24.1% (0.27 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.6% (-0.388 -0.39)58.39% (0.386 0.39)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.99% (-0.813 -0.81)28.01% (0.81 0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.34% (-1.043 -1.04)63.66% (1.041 1.04)
Score Analysis
    Lazio 40.59%
    Fiorentina 33.65%
    Draw 25.75%
LazioDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 9.61% (0.309 0.31)
2-1 @ 8.7% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.84% (0.168 0.17)
3-1 @ 4.13% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.24% (0.055 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.63% (-0.076 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.47% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.15% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 40.59%
1-1 @ 12.22% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 6.75% (0.268 0.27)
2-2 @ 5.53% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.75%
0-1 @ 8.59% (0.151 0.15)
1-2 @ 7.78% (-0.101 -0.1)
0-2 @ 5.47% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.3% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-3 @ 2.32% (-0.065 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 33.65%

How you voted: Lazio vs Fiorentina

Lazio
58.9%
Draw
28.1%
Fiorentina
13.0%
146
Head to Head
Jan 29, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 20
Lazio
1-1
Fiorentina
Casale (8')
Gonzalez (49')
> Preview
Oct 10, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Fiorentina
0-4
Lazio
Vecino (11'), Zaccagni (25'), Alberto (85'), Immobile (90+1')
> Preview
Feb 5, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Fiorentina
0-3
Lazio

Bonaventura (50'), Torreira (55')
Torreira (85')
Milinkovic-Savic (52'), Immobile (70'), Biraghi (81' og.)
Leiva (30'), Pedro (45+1'), Lazzari (67'), Patric (83'), Strakosha (85')
> Preview
Oct 27, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Lazio
1-0
Fiorentina
Pedro (52')
Cataldi (56'), Alberto (78'), Immobile (81')

Castrovilli (24'), Biraghi (47'), Duncan (68')
> Preview
May 8, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 35
Fiorentina
2-0
Lazio
Vlahovic (32', 89')
Venuti (5'), Vlahovic (44'), Pezzella (58'), Iachini (88'), Caceres (90+2')

Acerbi (28'), Leiva (60'), Radu (66'), Felipe (74'), Pereira (77'), Cataldi (90+1'), Akpa-Akpro (90+6')
Pereira (90+5')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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