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Serie A | Gameweek 23
Feb 3, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Sassuolo logo

Bologna
4 - 2
Sassuolo

Viti (24' og.), Fabbian (73'), Ferguson (83'), Saelemaekers (86')
Aebischer (55')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Thorstvedt (13'), Volpato (34')
Thorstvedt (45+1'), Boloca (85'), Doig (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Bologna and Sassuolo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AC Milan 2-2 Bologna
Saturday, January 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 1-0 Sassuolo
Sunday, January 28 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Bologna 2-1 Sassuolo

Sassuolo simply cannot keep clean sheets and are always prone to conceding more than once away from home, while Bologna rule the roost at Stadio Dall'Ara. For that reason, the hosts should secure maximum points for the first time in 2024; their local rivals will stay mired in trouble. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 51.21%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 24.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 0-1 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.

Result
BolognaDrawSassuolo
51.21% (-0.232 -0.23) 24.72% (-0.224 -0.22) 24.08% (0.459 0.46)
Both teams to score 51.77% (1.179 1.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.67% (1.308 1.31)50.33% (-1.305 -1.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.73% (1.15 1.15)72.27% (-1.147 -1.15)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.35% (0.42100000000001 0.42)19.65% (-0.418 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.38% (0.67899999999999 0.68)51.62% (-0.67599999999999 -0.68)
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.43% (1.137 1.14)35.57% (-1.133 -1.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.66% (1.154 1.15)72.34% (-1.152 -1.15)
Score Analysis
    Bologna 51.2%
    Sassuolo 24.08%
    Draw 24.71%
BolognaDrawSassuolo
1-0 @ 11.37% (-0.45 -0.45)
2-1 @ 9.56% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 9.25% (-0.247 -0.25)
3-1 @ 5.19% (0.089 0.09)
3-0 @ 5.02% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.68% (0.126 0.13)
4-1 @ 2.11% (0.063 0.06)
4-0 @ 2.04% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.09% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 51.2%
1-1 @ 11.75% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 6.99% (-0.376 -0.38)
2-2 @ 4.94% (0.171 0.17)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.71%
0-1 @ 7.22% (-0.158 -0.16)
1-2 @ 6.08% (0.133 0.13)
0-2 @ 3.73% (0.034 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.09% (0.108 0.11)
2-3 @ 1.7% (0.109 0.11)
0-3 @ 1.29% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 24.08%

How you voted: Bologna vs Sassuolo

Bologna
82.0%
Draw
11.5%
Sassuolo
6.6%
61
Head to Head
Oct 28, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 10
Sassuolo
1-1
Bologna
Boloca (44')
Berardi (90')
Zirkzee (3')
Lykogiannis (58'), Motta (60'), El Azzouzi (71'), Saelemaekers (90+5')
May 8, 2023 7.45pm
Nov 12, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Bologna
3-0
Sassuolo
Aebischer (30'), Arnautovic (50'), Ferguson (78')
May 15, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 37
Bologna
1-3
Sassuolo
Orsolini (90+2' pen.)
Scamacca (35', 80'), Berardi (75')
Raspadori (57')
Dec 22, 2021 3.30pm
Gameweek 19
Sassuolo
0-3
Bologna

Magnanelli (90')
Orsolini (36'), Hickey (44'), Santander (90+4')
Svanberg (59'), Dominguez (64'), Santander (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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