Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 51.21%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 24.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 0-1 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.
Result | ||
Bologna | Draw | Sassuolo |
51.21% (![]() | 24.72% (![]() | 24.08% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.77% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.67% (![]() | 50.33% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.73% (![]() | 72.27% (![]() |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.35% (![]() | 19.65% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.38% (![]() | 51.62% (![]() |
Sassuolo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.43% (![]() | 35.57% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.66% (![]() | 72.34% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Bologna | Draw | Sassuolo |
1-0 @ 11.37% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.56% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 9.25% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.19% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.02% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.68% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.11% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.04% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.09% ( ![]() Other @ 2.89% Total : 51.2% | 1-1 @ 11.75% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.99% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.94% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.71% | 0-1 @ 7.22% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.08% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.73% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.09% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.7% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.29% ( ![]() Other @ 1.96% Total : 24.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |