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Serie A | Gameweek 17
Dec 22, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
Lazio logo

Empoli
0 - 2
Lazio


Maldini (15'), Fazzini (45+1'), Bastoni (57')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Guendouzi (9'), Zaccagni (67')
Patric (26'), Rovella (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Empoli and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Torino 1-0 Empoli
Saturday, December 16 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 0-2 Inter Milan
Sunday, December 17 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Empoli 0-1 Lazio

Lazio's poor form means while they may be slight favourites for this one, it could be a much closer outing than Sarri would prefer. Hosts Empoli are in the midst of a rut though, and while two of their three wins this season came against Fiorentina and Napoli, this will be a tough task, especially with Caputo potentially out injured. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 47.93%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 26.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.34%) and 0-2 (8.6%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
EmpoliDrawLazio
26.67% (-0.249 -0.25) 25.4% (0.050999999999998 0.05) 47.93% (0.198 0.2)
Both teams to score 52.1% (-0.35700000000001 -0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.92% (-0.372 -0.37)51.08% (0.371 0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.07% (-0.328 -0.33)72.93% (0.327 0.33)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.22% (-0.39800000000001 -0.4)33.78% (0.39700000000001 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.56% (-0.434 -0.43)70.44% (0.43300000000001 0.43)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.68% (-0.067000000000007 -0.07)21.32% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.72% (-0.103 -0.1)54.28% (0.104 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Empoli 26.67%
    Lazio 47.93%
    Draw 25.4%
EmpoliDrawLazio
1-0 @ 7.82% (0.032 0.03)
2-1 @ 6.56% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-0 @ 4.24% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.37% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.83% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.54% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 26.67%
1-1 @ 12.08% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.2% (0.107 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.07% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.4%
0-1 @ 11.13% (0.15 0.15)
1-2 @ 9.34% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-2 @ 8.6% (0.093000000000002 0.09)
1-3 @ 4.81% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.43% (0.039 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.61% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.86% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.71% (0.012 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.01% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 47.93%

How you voted: Empoli vs Lazio

Empoli
13.5%
Draw
14.9%
Lazio
71.6%
74
Head to Head
Jun 3, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 38
Empoli
0-2
Lazio

Akpa-Akpro (14'), Cambiaghi (37')
Cambiaghi (89')
Romagnoli (48'), Alberto (90+2')
Milinkovic-Savic (40'), Vecino (62')
Jan 8, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 17
Lazio
2-2
Empoli
Anderson (2'), Zaccagni (54')
Caputo (83'), Marin (90+3')
Jan 6, 2022 1.30pm
Gameweek 20
Lazio
3-3
Empoli
Immobile (14'), Milinkovic-Savic (66', 90+3')
Felipe (18'), Pedro (52'), Marusic (62'), Alberto (71')
Bajrami (6' pen.), Zurkowski (8'), Di Francesco (75')
Parisi (10'), Marchizza (33'), Luperto (86'), Bandinelli (90+5')
Aug 21, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Empoli
1-3
Lazio
Bandinelli (4')
Stojanovic (38'), Ismajli (89')
Milinkovic-Savic (6'), Lazzari (31'), Immobile (41' pen.)
Leiva (29')
Feb 7, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 23
Lazio
1-0
Empoli
Caicedo (42' pen.)
Neto (90')

Acquah (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio1610153023731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna156722118325
8AC Milan156542416823
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa163761324-1116
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1650112139-1815
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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