Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 47.93%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 26.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.34%) and 0-2 (8.6%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
Result | ||
Empoli | Draw | Lazio |
26.67% (![]() | 25.4% (![]() | 47.93% (![]() |
Both teams to score 52.1% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.92% (![]() | 51.08% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.07% (![]() | 72.93% (![]() |
Empoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.22% (![]() | 33.78% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.56% (![]() | 70.44% (![]() |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.68% (![]() | 21.32% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.72% (![]() | 54.28% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Empoli | Draw | Lazio |
1-0 @ 7.82% (![]() 2-1 @ 6.56% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.24% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.37% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.83% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.54% ( ![]() Other @ 2.32% Total : 26.67% | 1-1 @ 12.08% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.2% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.07% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.4% | 0-1 @ 11.13% (![]() 1-2 @ 9.34% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 8.6% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.81% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4.43% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.61% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.86% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.71% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.01% ( ![]() Other @ 2.44% Total : 47.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |