Serie A | Gameweek 28
Mar 9, 2025 at 2pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Napoli2 - 1Fiorentina
FT(HT: 1-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Napoli 1-1 Inter Milan
Saturday, March 1 at 5pm in Serie A
Saturday, March 1 at 5pm in Serie A
We said: Napoli 1-0 Fiorentina
Having run out of steam during February, it seemed that Napoli were back to their resilient best in last week's title clash with Inter. Building on that performance, they should now end their six-week wait for success, claiming maximum points at misfiring Fiorentina's expense. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 51.28%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 24.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 0-1 (7.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Napoli | Draw | Fiorentina |
51.28% ( 0.05) | 24.66% ( 0.02) | 24.06% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 51.91% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.87% ( -0.15) | 50.13% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.91% ( -0.14) | 72.09% ( 0.14) |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.46% ( -0.04) | 19.54% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.56% ( -0.06) | 51.44% ( 0.07) |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.52% ( -0.15) | 35.48% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.76% ( -0.16) | 72.24% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
Napoli 51.27%
Fiorentina 24.06%
Draw 24.65%
| Napoli | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 1-0 @ 11.31% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.24% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.21% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.13% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.05% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.93% Total : 51.27% | 1-1 @ 11.72% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.93% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.65% | 0-1 @ 7.18% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.98% Total : 24.06% |
How you voted: Napoli vs Fiorentina
Napoli
82.7%Draw
17.3%Fiorentina
0.0%52
Head to Head
Jan 4, 2025 5pm
May 17, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Fiorentina
2-2
Napoli
Jan 18, 2024 7pm
Oct 8, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Napoli
1-3
Fiorentina
Brekalo (7'), Bonaventura (63'), Gonzalez (90+3')
Terracciano (45+4'), Martinez (69'), Bonaventura (70'), Ranieri (89')
Terracciano (45+4'), Martinez (69'), Bonaventura (70'), Ranieri (89')
May 7, 2023 5pm
