Serie A | Gameweek 31
Apr 5, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
AC Milan2 - 2Fiorentina
We said: AC Milan 1-1 Fiorentina
These teams have drawn only one of their last 14 league meetings, but a stalemate is on the cards this weekend, when Milan will stumble again. Fiorentina have turned a corner, keeping successive clean sheets and taking maximum points against two top-four contenders, so they are in good shape to secure at least a draw. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AC Milan win with a probability of 48.81%. A win for Fiorentina has a probability of 27.46% and a draw has a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Fiorentina win is 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.06%).
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Fiorentina |
48.81% ( -2.17) | 23.74% ( 0.25) | 27.46% ( 1.92) |
| Both teams to score 58.18% ( 0.92) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.63% ( 0.41) | 43.37% ( -0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.23% ( 0.41) | 65.77% ( -0.4) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.09% ( -0.67) | 17.91% ( 0.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.29% ( -1.16) | 48.7% ( 1.16) |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.87% ( 1.68) | 29.13% ( -1.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.94% ( 2.03) | 65.06% ( -2.03) |
| Score Analysis |
AC Milan 48.81%
Fiorentina 27.46%
Draw 23.73%
| AC Milan | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 8.97% ( -0.37)2-0 @ 7.72% ( -0.49)3-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.21)3-0 @ 4.42% ( -0.39)3-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.14)4-0 @ 1.9% ( -0.21)4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.66% Total : 48.81% | 1-1 @ 11.06% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.18)0-0 @ 5.22% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.73% | 1-2 @ 6.82% ( 0.35) 0-1 @ 6.43% ( 0.18)0-2 @ 3.97% ( 0.29)1-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.27)2-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.18)0-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.19)Other @ 3.38% Total : 27.46% |
How you voted: AC Milan vs Fiorentina
AC Milan
56.6%Draw
27.6%Fiorentina
15.8%76
Head to Head
Mar 30, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 30
Fiorentina
1-2
AC Milan
Mar 4, 2023 7.45pm
Nov 13, 2022 5pm
Form Guide
