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Serie A | Gameweek 38
May 24, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
Bologna logo

Genoa
2 - 0
Bologna

Malinovskyi (13'), Vitinha (59')
Leali (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)

El Azzouzi (56'), Castro (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Genoa and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roma 1-0 Genoa
Sunday, May 19 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 3-3 Juventus
Monday, May 20 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Genoa 0-1 Bologna

With all due respect to Genoa and the promising Gudmundsson, Bologna should not endure a similar defensive catastrophe akin to the one in their Juventus draw, and staunch defensive displays on the road have been easy for Motta's men to come by. Facing a Grifone side who already have their toes in the sand, Bologna can draw first blood and bolt the back doors shut to end the season on a positive note, while surely securing third spot in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 40.93%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 31.11% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-0 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
GenoaDrawBologna
31.11% (-0.061 -0.06) 27.96% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05) 40.93% (0.108 0.11)
Both teams to score 47.06% (0.114 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.23% (0.15199999999999 0.15)58.77% (-0.154 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.71% (0.117 0.12)79.29% (-0.119 -0.12)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.55% (0.034999999999997 0.03)34.45% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.84% (0.038 0.04)71.16% (-0.039999999999992 -0.04)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.8% (0.13200000000001 0.13)28.2% (-0.135 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.1% (0.166 0.17)63.9% (-0.168 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Genoa 31.11%
    Bologna 40.92%
    Draw 27.96%
GenoaDrawBologna
1-0 @ 10.35% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 6.98%
2-0 @ 5.52% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.48% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 1.96% (-0.006 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.57% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 31.11%
1-1 @ 13.1% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.72% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.42% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 27.96%
0-1 @ 12.29% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.29% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.78% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.5% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.28% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.87% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.11% (0.011 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.04% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 40.92%

How you voted: Genoa vs Bologna

Genoa
15.7%
Draw
15.2%
Bologna
69.1%
178
Head to Head
Jan 5, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Bologna
1-1
Genoa
De Silvestri (90+5')
Posch (19'), Zirkzee (88'), Kristansen (90+7')
Gudmundsson (20')
Vasquez (40'), Retegui (71'), Sabelli (79')
May 21, 2022 4.15pm
Gameweek 38
Genoa
0-1
Bologna

Galdames (38'), Criscito (54'), Skiri Oestigaard (59')
Barrow (66')
Aebischer (25')
Sep 21, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 5
Bologna
2-2
Genoa
Hickey (49'), Arnautovic (85' pen.)
Dominguez (30'), Bonifazi (59'), Medel (72')
Mihajlovic (90+1')
Destro (55'), Criscito (89' pen.)
Fares (43'), Destro (56'), Behrami (60'), Vanheusden (84')
May 12, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 36
Bologna
0-2
Genoa

Schouten (68')
Zappacosta (13'), Scamacca (61' pen.)
Zapata (1'), Shomurodov (46'), Rovella (64')
Jan 9, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 17
Genoa
2-0
Bologna
Zajc (44'), Destro (55')
Radovanovic (66'), Ghiglione (87')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Juventus633090912
2AC Milan6321147711
3Torino6321108211
4Inter Milan6321137611
5Udinese6312910-110
6Napoli531194510
7Empoli624052310
8Lazio63121210210
9Roma62317439
10Como6222911-28
11Atalanta BCAtalanta62131112-17
12Bologna614179-27
13Fiorentina61417707
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona62041011-16
15Parma512289-15
16Lecce6123311-85
17Genoa6123410-65
18VeneziaVenezia6114410-64
19Monza503246-23
20CagliariCagliari502318-72


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