Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 40.93%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 31.11% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-0 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Genoa | Draw | Bologna |
31.11% ( -0.06) | 27.96% ( -0.05) | 40.93% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 47.06% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.23% ( 0.15) | 58.77% ( -0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.71% ( 0.12) | 79.29% ( -0.12) |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.55% ( 0.03) | 34.45% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.84% ( 0.04) | 71.16% ( -0.04) |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.8% ( 0.13) | 28.2% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.1% ( 0.17) | 63.9% ( -0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Genoa | Draw | Bologna |
1-0 @ 10.35% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 6.98% 2-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.48% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.96% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.25% Total : 31.11% | 1-1 @ 13.1% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.72% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.42% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.96% | 0-1 @ 12.29% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.29% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.78% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.5% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.76% Total : 40.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 26 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 25 |
3 | Fiorentina | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
4 | Inter Milan | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 25 |
5 | Lazio | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
6 | Juventus | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 24 |
7 | AC Milan | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 18 |
8 | Bologna | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Udinese | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 16 |
10 | Empoli | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
11 | Torino | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
13 | Parma | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 12 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Como | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
17 | Genoa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 10 |
18 | Lecce | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 9 |
19 | Monza | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 8 |
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