Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 34

Apr 29, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

Genoa
3 - 0
Cagliari

Thorsby (17'), Frendrup (27'), Gudmundsson (63')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Shomurodov (58'), Augello (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Genoa and Cagliari, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Genoa

All competitions

Last Game: Genoa 0-1 Lazio
Friday, April 19 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cagliari

All competitions

Last Game: Cagliari 2-2 Juventus
Friday, April 19 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

With safety virtually secured, Genoa have been tailing off in recent weeks, while Cagliari's fighting spirit has sparked a revival. However, the hosts are tough to beat at Marassi and their Rossoblu rivals do not tend to travel well. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 50.74%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 23.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.57%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (7.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Genoa would win this match.

Result
Genoa	Draw	Cagliari
50.74% ( 1.36)	25.42% ( -0.14)	23.84% ( -1.22)

Both teams to score 49.41% (

-0.81)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.69% (

-0.46)

53.31% (

0.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.14% (

-0.39)

74.86% (

0.39)

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.97% (

0.39)

21.03% (

-0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.18% (

0.61)

53.82% (

-0.61)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.57% (

-1.34)

37.43% (

1.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.79% (

-1.34)

74.21% (

1.34)

Score Analysis

Genoa 50.74%

Cagliari 23.84%

Draw 25.42%

Genoa	Draw	Cagliari
1-0 @ 12.27% ( 0.36) 2-0 @ 9.57% ( 0.39) 2-1 @ 9.4% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 4.97% ( 0.26) 3-1 @ 4.89% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.45% Total : 50.74%	1-1 @ 12.06% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.87% Total : 25.42%	0-1 @ 7.73% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.26) 0-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.22) 1-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.12) Other @ 1.68% Total : 23.84%