Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 44.56%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 28.14% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (8.55%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Cagliari | Draw | Juventus |
28.14% ( 0.29) | 27.3% ( 0.09) | 44.56% ( -0.38) |
Both teams to score 47.53% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.5% ( -0.18) | 57.5% ( 0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.71% ( -0.14) | 78.29% ( 0.14) |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.95% ( 0.14) | 36.05% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.17% ( 0.14) | 72.83% ( -0.14) |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.32% ( -0.27) | 25.68% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.41% ( -0.38) | 60.59% ( 0.38) |
Score Analysis |
Cagliari | Draw | Juventus |
1-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 6.55% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 4.82% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 2.23% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.52% ( 0) Other @ 1.94% Total : 28.14% | 1-1 @ 12.84% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 9.26% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.3% | 0-1 @ 12.58% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.73% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 8.55% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 3.96% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 3.88% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.19% Total : 44.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
2 | Napoli | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 35 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 25 |
8 | AC Milan | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 23 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |