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Serie A
Milan logo
Serie A | Gameweek 36
May 20, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Sampdoria logo

AC Milan
5 - 1
Sampdoria

Leao (9'), Giroud (23', 29' pen., 68'), Diaz (63')
Hernandez (75')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Quagliarella (20')
Gunter (27'), Zanoli (30'), Oikonomou (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Sampdoria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 AC Milan
Tuesday, May 16 at 8pm in Champions League

Sampdoria

All competitions
Last Game: Sampdoria 1-1 Empoli
Monday, May 15 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: AC Milan 1-0 Sampdoria

 As Serie B-bound Sampdoria concede goals at a rate of more than two per game when on the road, even Milan's tired and demoralised front line can score in Saturday's late kickoff. It may be attritional at times, but the hosts will be spurred on by knowing even a fifth-placed finish could secure their Champions League return if Juventus are ultimately docked nine points as expected. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 77.75%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 7.05%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.61%) and 3-0 (11.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.11%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (3%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawSampdoria
77.75% (0.158 0.16) 15.2% (-0.105 -0.11) 7.05% (-0.0531 -0.05)
Both teams to score 39.07% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.16% (0.278 0.28)43.84% (-0.278 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.77% (0.27 0.27)66.23% (-0.27000000000001 -0.27)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.64% (0.108 0.11)9.36% (-0.108 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.47% (0.254 0.25)31.53% (-0.254 -0.25)
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
43.1% (0.038999999999994 0.04)56.9% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.01% (0.021999999999998 0.02)88.98% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 77.74%
    Sampdoria 7.05%
    Draw 15.2%
AC MilanDrawSampdoria
2-0 @ 14.94% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-0 @ 12.61% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-0 @ 11.79% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.43% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 6.99% (0.051 0.05)
3-1 @ 6.65% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.94% (0.034 0.03)
5-0 @ 3.31% (0.04 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.88% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.87% (0.024 0.02)
6-0 @ 1.31% (0.022 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.11% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 77.74%
1-1 @ 7.11% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.33% (-0.065 -0.06)
2-2 @ 2.38%
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 15.2%
0-1 @ 3% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-2 @ 2.01% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 7.05%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Sampdoria

AC Milan
82.8%
Draw
12.1%
Sampdoria
5.2%
58
Head to Head
Sep 10, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 6
Sampdoria
1-2
AC Milan
Duricic (57')
Messias (6'), Giroud (67' pen.)
Leao (17')
Feb 13, 2022 11.30am
gameweek 25
AC Milan
1-0
Sampdoria
Leao (8')
Diaz (19'), Romagnoli (26'), Bennacer (60')

Rincon (10')
Aug 23, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 1
Sampdoria
0-1
AC Milan

Gabbiadini (33'), Murru (89'), Bereszynski (90+3')
Diaz (9')
Kjaer (86')
Apr 3, 2021 11.30am
gameweek 29
AC Milan
1-1
Sampdoria
Petter Hauge (87')
Saelemaekers (45'), Bennacer (50')
Quagliarella (57')
Colley (32'), Thorsby (39'), Silva (45+1'), Candreva (73')
Silva (59')
Dec 6, 2020 7.45pm
gameweek 10
Sampdoria
1-2
AC Milan
Ekdal (82')
Silva (26'), Jankto (45+2')
Kessie (45' pen.), Castillejo (77')
Kessie (5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio1610153023731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna156722118325
8AC Milan156542416823
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa163761324-1116
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1650112139-1815
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410
> Serie A Full Table


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