Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 37

May 19, 2024 at 11.30am UK

MAPEI Stadium - Citta del Tricolore

Sassuolo
0 - 2
Cagliari

Pegolo (36'), Thorstvedt (54'), Pinamonti (79'), Henrique (90+3')
Henrique (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Prati (71'), Lapadula (90+1' pen.)
Deiola (61'), Dossena (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Sassuolo and Cagliari, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sassuolo

All competitions

Last Game: Genoa 2-1 Sassuolo
Sunday, May 12 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cagliari

All competitions

Last Game: AC Milan 5-1 Cagliari
Saturday, May 11 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Sassuolo 2-2 Cagliari

Sassuolo and Cagliari have drawn 10 of their 17 Serie A meetings to date, and the same result may be produced this weekend; the hosts cannot keep a lead intact, while their visitors struggle outside of Sardinia. That outcome would leave both at the mercy of other teams in a tense survival scrap that will climax on the final day of the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 41.26%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 33.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Sassuolo	Draw	Cagliari
41.26% ( 0.12)	25.07% ( -0.06)	33.67% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 57% (

0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.58% (

0.24)

46.43% (

-0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.29% (

0.22)

68.71% (

-0.22)

Sassuolo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.58% (

0.17)

22.43% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.05% (

0.24)

55.95% (

-0.24)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.47% (

0.08)

26.53% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.27% (

0.1)

61.73% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Sassuolo 41.26%

Cagliari 33.67%

Draw 25.07%

Sassuolo	Draw	Cagliari
1-0 @ 8.89% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.65% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.4% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.31% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.3% Total : 41.26%	1-1 @ 11.8% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.07%	0-1 @ 7.89% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 7.83% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.46% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 3.19% Total : 33.67%