Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 45.49%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 27.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Cagliari | Draw | Lecce |
45.49% ( -2.24) | 26.67% ( 0.46) | 27.84% ( 1.78) |
Both teams to score 49.15% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.67% ( -0.69) | 55.32% ( 0.69) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.46% ( -0.57) | 76.54% ( 0.57) |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.75% ( -1.35) | 24.25% ( 1.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.39% ( -1.95) | 58.6% ( 1.95) |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.88% ( 1.09) | 35.12% ( -1.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.13% ( 1.13) | 71.86% ( -1.13) |
Score Analysis |
Cagliari | Draw | Lecce |
1-0 @ 12.06% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 8.94% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 8.55% ( -0.46) 3-1 @ 4.22% ( -0.27) 3-0 @ 4.04% ( -0.39) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.16) 4-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.2) Other @ 2.54% Total : 45.49% | 1-1 @ 12.62% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 8.52% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.66% | 0-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.49) 1-2 @ 6.61% ( 0.3) 0-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.39) 1-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.18) Other @ 2.09% Total : 27.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 25 |
2 | Inter Milan | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 24 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 14 | 15 | 22 |
4 | Fiorentina | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 22 |
5 | Lazio | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 22 |
6 | Juventus | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 21 |
7 | AC Milan | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 17 |
8 | Udinese | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 16 |
9 | Bologna | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Torino | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 14 |
11 | Empoli | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 13 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 12 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 9 |
15 | Genoa | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 9 |
16 | Como | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 9 |
17 | Parma | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 9 |
18 | Monza | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 8 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 8 |
20 | Lecce | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 20 | -16 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |