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Serie A | Gameweek 35
May 5, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Sardegna Arena
Lecce logo

Cagliari
1 - 1
Lecce

Mina (26')
Ranieri (44'), Scuffet (64'), Nandez (74'), Deiola (78'), Deiola (77'), Augello (78')
Gaetano (42'), Gaetano (44')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Krstovic (84')
Piccoli (14'), Sansone (54'), Ramadani (56'), Baschirotto (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Genoa 3-0 Cagliari
Monday, April 29 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 1-1 Monza
Saturday, April 27 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Cagliari 2-2 Lecce

Throughout Serie A, Lecce (39%) and Cagliari (36%) have scored the highest share of goals during the final 15 minutes, so nothing will be decided until the final whistle blows. The Salentini have recently started picking up more points on the road, but their hosts never know when they are beaten and should at least avoid defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 45.49%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 27.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
CagliariDrawLecce
45.49% (-2.24 -2.24) 26.67% (0.461 0.46) 27.84% (1.779 1.78)
Both teams to score 49.15% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.67% (-0.688 -0.69)55.32% (0.688 0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.46% (-0.568 -0.57)76.54% (0.56700000000001 0.57)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.75% (-1.351 -1.35)24.25% (1.351 1.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.39% (-1.951 -1.95)58.6% (1.949 1.95)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.88% (1.091 1.09)35.12% (-1.092 -1.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.13% (1.125 1.13)71.86% (-1.127 -1.13)
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 45.49%
    Lecce 27.84%
    Draw 26.66%
CagliariDrawLecce
1-0 @ 12.06% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-1 @ 8.94% (-0.207 -0.21)
2-0 @ 8.55% (-0.462 -0.46)
3-1 @ 4.22% (-0.273 -0.27)
3-0 @ 4.04% (-0.39 -0.39)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.074 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.5% (-0.161 -0.16)
4-0 @ 1.43% (-0.201 -0.2)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 45.49%
1-1 @ 12.62% (0.21 0.21)
0-0 @ 8.52% (0.224 0.22)
2-2 @ 4.68% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.66%
0-1 @ 8.91% (0.488 0.49)
1-2 @ 6.61% (0.299 0.3)
0-2 @ 4.66% (0.385 0.39)
1-3 @ 2.31% (0.169 0.17)
2-3 @ 1.63% (0.059 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.63% (0.178 0.18)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 27.84%

How you voted: Cagliari vs Lecce

Cagliari
43.9%
Draw
34.8%
Lecce
21.2%
66
Head to Head
Jan 6, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 19
Lecce
1-1
Cagliari
Gendrey (31')
Espeto (67')
Oristanio (68')
Dossena (35')
Jul 12, 2020 6.30pm
Nov 25, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 13
Lecce
2-2
Cagliari
Lapadula (82' pen.), Calderoni (91')
Petriccione (68'), Farias (95')
Lapadula (85')
Pedro (30' pen.), Nainggolan (67')
Lykogiannis (21'), Rog (45')
Cacciatore (81'), Olsen (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli118121881025
2Inter Milan1173125131224
3Atalanta BCAtalanta1171329141522
4Fiorentina116412291322
5Lazio1171324141022
6Juventus115601971221
7AC Milan105231711617
8Udinese115151416-216
9Bologna103611211115
10Torino114251516-114
11Empoli1135389-114
12Roma113441214-213
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona114071624-812
14CagliariCagliari11236919-109
15Genoa11236821-139
16Como112361222-109
17Parma111641417-39
18Monza111551014-48
19VeneziaVenezia112271019-98
20Lecce11227420-168


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