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Venezia
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Serie A | Gameweek 35
May 5, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Sardegna Arena
Lecce logo

Cagliari
1 - 1
Lecce

Mina (26')
Ranieri (44'), Scuffet (64'), Nandez (74'), Deiola (78'), Deiola (77'), Augello (78')
Gaetano (42'), Gaetano (44')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Krstovic (84')
Piccoli (14'), Sansone (54'), Ramadani (56'), Baschirotto (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Genoa 3-0 Cagliari
Monday, April 29 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 1-1 Monza
Saturday, April 27 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Cagliari 2-2 Lecce

Throughout Serie A, Lecce (39%) and Cagliari (36%) have scored the highest share of goals during the final 15 minutes, so nothing will be decided until the final whistle blows. The Salentini have recently started picking up more points on the road, but their hosts never know when they are beaten and should at least avoid defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 45.49%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 27.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
CagliariDrawLecce
45.49% (-2.24 -2.24) 26.67% (0.461 0.46) 27.84% (1.779 1.78)
Both teams to score 49.15% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.67% (-0.688 -0.69)55.32% (0.688 0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.46% (-0.568 -0.57)76.54% (0.56700000000001 0.57)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.75% (-1.351 -1.35)24.25% (1.351 1.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.39% (-1.951 -1.95)58.6% (1.949 1.95)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.88% (1.091 1.09)35.12% (-1.092 -1.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.13% (1.125 1.13)71.86% (-1.127 -1.13)
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 45.49%
    Lecce 27.84%
    Draw 26.66%
CagliariDrawLecce
1-0 @ 12.06% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-1 @ 8.94% (-0.207 -0.21)
2-0 @ 8.55% (-0.462 -0.46)
3-1 @ 4.22% (-0.273 -0.27)
3-0 @ 4.04% (-0.39 -0.39)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.074 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.5% (-0.161 -0.16)
4-0 @ 1.43% (-0.201 -0.2)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 45.49%
1-1 @ 12.62% (0.21 0.21)
0-0 @ 8.52% (0.224 0.22)
2-2 @ 4.68% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.66%
0-1 @ 8.91% (0.488 0.49)
1-2 @ 6.61% (0.299 0.3)
0-2 @ 4.66% (0.385 0.39)
1-3 @ 2.31% (0.169 0.17)
2-3 @ 1.63% (0.059 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.63% (0.178 0.18)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 27.84%

How you voted: Cagliari vs Lecce

Cagliari
43.9%
Draw
34.8%
Lecce
21.2%
66
Head to Head
Jan 6, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 19
Lecce
1-1
Cagliari
Gendrey (31')
Espeto (67')
Oristanio (68')
Dossena (35')
Jul 12, 2020 6.30pm
Nov 25, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 13
Lecce
2-2
Cagliari
Lapadula (82' pen.), Calderoni (91')
Petriccione (68'), Farias (95')
Lapadula (85')
Pedro (30' pen.), Nainggolan (67')
Lykogiannis (21'), Rog (45')
Cacciatore (81'), Olsen (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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