Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 35

May 5, 2024 at 11.30am UK

Sardegna Arena

Cagliari
1 - 1
Lecce

Mina (26')
Ranieri (44'), Scuffet (64'), Nandez (74'), Deiola (78'), Deiola (77'), Augello (78')
Gaetano (42'), Gaetano (44')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Krstovic (84')
Piccoli (14'), Sansone (54'), Ramadani (56'), Baschirotto (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cagliari

All competitions

Last Game: Genoa 3-0 Cagliari
Monday, April 29 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lecce

All competitions

Last Game: Lecce 1-1 Monza
Saturday, April 27 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Throughout Serie A, Lecce (39%) and Cagliari (36%) have scored the highest share of goals during the final 15 minutes, so nothing will be decided until the final whistle blows. The Salentini have recently started picking up more points on the road, but their hosts never know when they are beaten and should at least avoid defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 45.49%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 27.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Cagliari	Draw	Lecce
45.49% ( -2.24)	26.67% ( 0.46)	27.84% ( 1.78)

Both teams to score 49.15% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.67% (

-0.69)

55.32% (

0.69)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.46% (

-0.57)

76.54% (

0.57)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.75% (

-1.35)

24.25% (

1.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.39% (

-1.95)

58.6% (

1.95)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.88% (

1.09)

35.12% (

-1.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.13% (

1.13)

71.86% (

-1.13)

Score Analysis

Cagliari 45.49%

Lecce 27.84%

Draw 26.66%

Cagliari	Draw	Lecce
1-0 @ 12.06% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 8.94% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 8.55% ( -0.46) 3-1 @ 4.22% ( -0.27) 3-0 @ 4.04% ( -0.39) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.16) 4-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.2) Other @ 2.54% Total : 45.49%	1-1 @ 12.62% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 8.52% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.66%	0-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.49) 1-2 @ 6.61% ( 0.3) 0-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.39) 1-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.18) Other @ 2.09% Total : 27.84%